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Ulverstone U21 vs Somerset

Australia Australia

Tasmania Northern Championship
Ulverstone U21 Logo

Ulverstone U21

4 - 0
FT
Somerset Logo

Somerset

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tasmania Northern Championship game between Ulverstone U21 and Somerset finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulverstone U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Ulverstone U21
15%
Draws
17%
Somerset
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulverstone U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Somerset come out ahead of Ulverstone U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ulverstone U21 a 68% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Tasmania Northern Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ulverstone U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ulverstone U21 Clean Sheet 11%
Somerset Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulverstone U21 Somerset
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 3 2
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.45 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Ulverstone U21 vs Somerset
2:0
Jun 27, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Somerset vs Ulverstone U21
2:2
Apr 18, 2026 Tasmania Northern Championship
Ulverstone U21 vs Somerset
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulverstone U21 83 / 100
Somerset 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulverstone U21 Somerset

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulverstone U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ulverstone U21 scored in 85% of their last 20 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Somerset's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Ulverstone U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulverstone U21 VS Somerset
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulverstone U21

(Home)
29 Aug
Northern Rangers
4 : 0
Ulverstone U21
22 Aug
Ulverstone U21
4 : 3
Riverside Olympic U21
15 Aug
Burnie United
0 : 2
Ulverstone U21
08 Aug
Ulverstone U21
2 : 0
Somerset
31 Jul
Ulverstone U21
3 : 2
Launceston United U21
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Somerset

(Away)
29 Aug
Launceston City U21
2 : 0
Somerset
22 Aug
Somerset
0 : 8
Devonport U21
15 Aug
Somerset
0 : 11
Northern Rangers
08 Aug
Ulverstone U21
2 : 0
Somerset
01 Aug
Somerset
2 : 0
Burnie United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Rangers 21 20 0 1 130:24 60
2 Devonport U21 21 16 2 3 107:27 50
3 Ulverstone U21 20 11 3 6 49:38 36
4 Launceston City U21 20 9 0 11 32:39 27
5 Somerset 20 7 2 11 40:59 23
6 Burnie United 21 7 2 12 52:79 23
7 Riverside Olympic U21 20 5 0 15 28:76 15
8 Launceston United U21 21 2 1 18 19:115 7
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