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Ulytau vs Atyrau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Stadion Metallurg, Zhezqazghan
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ulytau host Atyrau in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Ulytau at 1.03 goals for, 1.24 against; Atyrau at 0.86 for, 1.14 against. Past meetings favor Ulytau slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.19, favoring Ulytau. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ulytau
15%
Draws
39%
Atyrau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulytau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ulytau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ulytau are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 20%
Atyrau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulytau Atyrau
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.03 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Atyrau vs Ulytau
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Premier League
Ulytau vs Atyrau
1:5
Jun 14, 2025 Premier League
Atyrau vs Ulytau
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulytau 49 / 100
Atyrau 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulytau Atyrau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulytau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulytau scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Atyrau let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Ulytau went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulytau VS Atyrau
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulytau

(Home)
11 Oct
Ulytau
2 : 0
Okzhetpes
18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2
Ulytau
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3
Altai
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1
Ulytau
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
Page 1 of 6

Atyrau

(Away)
14 Oct
Atyrau
1 : 2
Yelimay Semey
10 Oct
Zhenis
1 : 2
Atyrau
17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3
Ordabasy
12 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 0
Atyrau
05 Sept
Kyzylzhar
0 : 1
Atyrau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 27 20 4 3 55:19 64
2 Kairat Almaty 27 18 6 3 52:20 60
3 FC Astana 27 15 6 6 44:27 51
4 Aktobe 27 13 6 8 41:32 45
5 Okzhetpes 27 13 6 8 41:37 45
6 Yelimay Semey 27 11 8 8 38:37 41
7 Tobol 27 11 4 12 35:36 37
8 Ulytau 27 9 8 10 26:32 35
9 Zhenis 27 8 8 11 27:34 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 27 9 5 13 29:37 32
11 Kyzylzhar 27 7 6 14 28:40 27
12 Atyrau 27 5 11 11 21:31 26
13 Ertis Pavlodar 27 6 8 13 26:37 26
14 Altai 27 6 7 14 27:38 25
15 Kaisar Kyzylorda 27 4 12 11 23:37 24
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 27 5 7 15 26:45 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)