Sport Picks
Ulytau vs Kairat Almaty Prediction & H2H Stats
Kazakhstan
Premier League Stadion Metallurg, Zhezqazghan 
Match Events
33'
33'
Satpaev D.
Assist: Jukkola O.
34'
34'
Sub
Bougnone A. In: Nursultanov K.
Out: Bougnone A.
41'
41'
Glazer D.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Ulytau and Kairat Almaty finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kairat Almaty
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ulytau haven't matched Kairat Almaty's recent run of results.
- Model gives Kairat Almaty a 59% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Kairat Almaty have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 16%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ulytau | Kairat Almaty |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Ulytau
3:1
May 10, 2026 Premier League
Ulytau vs Kairat Almaty
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Ulytau
1:0
May 3, 2025 Premier League
Ulytau vs Kairat Almaty
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ulytau Compare
Top Goalscorer Chalkin M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Kairat Almaty Compare
Top Goalscorer Satpaev D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ulytau 15 / 100
Kairat Almaty 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ulytau Kairat Almaty
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kairat Almaty Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ulytau's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Kairat Almaty has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Ulytau has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ulytau VS Kairat Almaty
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ulytau
(Home) 18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2 Ulytau
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3 Altai
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1 Ulytau
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Kairat Almaty
3 : 1 Ulytau
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3 Altai
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
02 Aug
Ulytau
0 : 2 FC Astana
25 Jul
Ulytau
1 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar
12 Jul
Ulytau
1 : 0 Kaisar Kyzylorda
Page 1 of 3
Kairat Almaty
(Away) 17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
13 Sept
Kairat Almaty
1 : 4 Tobol
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0 Zhenis
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3 Kairat Almaty
31 Aug
Yelimay Semey
0 : 2 Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3 Kairat Almaty
31 Aug
Yelimay Semey
0 : 2 Kairat Almaty
27 Aug
Anderlecht
3 : 0 Kairat Almaty
04 Aug
Levski Sofia
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 51:18 | 61 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51:20 | 57 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 42:25 | 48 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38:31 | 42 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 35:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Tobol | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ulytau | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24:32 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:36 | 29 |
| 11 | Ertis Pavlodar | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26:34 | 26 |
| 12 | Altai | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 22:33 | 24 |
| 14 | Kyzylzhar | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26:40 | 24 |
| 15 | Atyrau | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 18:28 | 23 |
| 16 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26:44 | 22 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)
