Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulytau vs Ordabasy

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Stadion Metallurg
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Macedo Moraes E.
41' Event
Johnsen B.
Assist: Vakulko Y.
46'
Sub
Macedo Moraes E. In: Amir Z.
Out: Macedo Moraes E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ulytau and Ordabasy finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ordabasy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ulytau
6%
Draws
90%
Ordabasy
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ordabasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ordabasy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ordabasy are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 17%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulytau Ordabasy
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 19
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 0.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Ulytau
1:0
Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Ulytau vs Ordabasy
0:1
Aug 24, 2025 Premier League
Ulytau vs Ordabasy
2:1
May 24, 2025 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Ulytau
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulytau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Ordabasy Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnsen B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulytau 10 / 100
Ordabasy 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulytau Ordabasy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulytau found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Ordabasy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ulytau remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulytau VS Ordabasy
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty19126137:1342
2Ordabasy17124130:1240
3Okzhetpes1886424:2430
4FC Astana1785425:1929
5Ulytau1876515:1627
6Yelimay Semey1675424:1926
7Aktobe1774622:1825
8Zhenis1857615:2022
9Tobol1854920:2619
10Kaisar Kyzylorda19310614:2119
11Atyrau1739513:1618
12Zhetysu Taldykorgan1846821:2718
13Kaspij Aktau18531016:2318
14Altai1737712:1816
15Kyzylzhar18441018:2616
16Ertis Pavlodar1718814:2211