Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulytau vs Ordabasy

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Stadion Metallurg, Zhezqazghan
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Macedo Moraes E.
41' Event
Johnsen B.
Assist: Vakulko Y.
46'
Sub
Macedo Moraes E. In: Amir Z.
Out: Macedo Moraes E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ulytau and Ordabasy finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ordabasy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ulytau
15%
Draws
64%
Ordabasy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ordabasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ordabasy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ordabasy are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 10%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulytau Ordabasy
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 25
Draws 9 3
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.07 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Ulytau
1:0
Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Ulytau vs Ordabasy
0:1
Aug 24, 2025 Premier League
Ulytau vs Ordabasy
2:1
May 24, 2025 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Ulytau
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulytau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ordabasy Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnsen B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulytau 10 / 100
Ordabasy 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulytau Ordabasy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ordabasy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulytau found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Ordabasy has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Ulytau remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulytau VS Ordabasy
1 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulytau

(Home)
18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2
Ulytau
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3
Altai
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1
Ulytau
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Kairat Almaty
3 : 1
Ulytau
Page 1 of 6

Ordabasy

(Away)
17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3
Ordabasy
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0
FC Astana
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2
Ordabasy
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)