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Umea FC Akademi vs Storfors AIK

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Wimbabazi K.
86' Event
Larsson A.
88' Event
Skoglund O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Umea FC Akademi and Storfors AIK finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Umea FC Akademi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Umea FC Akademi
30%
Draws
34%
Storfors AIK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Umea FC Akademi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Umea FC Akademi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Umea FC Akademi a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Umea FC Akademi Clean Sheet 10%
Storfors AIK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea FC Akademi Storfors AIK
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Storfors AIK vs Umea FC Akademi
3:3
Apr 11, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Storfors AIK
2:1
Oct 9, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Storfors AIK
1:2
Jun 11, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Storfors AIK vs Umea FC Akademi
6:0
Aug 15, 2021 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Storfors AIK
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea FC Akademi Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skoglund O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Storfors AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Wimbabazi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FC Akademi 34 / 100
Storfors AIK 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea FC Akademi Storfors AIK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Storfors AIK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Umea FC Akademi scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Away concern: Storfors AIK has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Umea FC Akademi VS Storfors AIK
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skelleftea1283126:827
2Taftea IK1281334:1325
3IFK Lulea1281332:1425
4Boden1245315:1417
5Umea FC Akademi1225517:2911
6Storfors AIK1222814:328
7IFK Umea12111010:384
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kubikenborgs1272325:1623
2Gottne IF1272329:2423
3Lucksta IF1253426:2618
4IFK Ostersund1245323:2017
5Friska Viljor1226423:2112
6Umea FF1225522:2611
7Fransta IK1223717:329