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Umea FC vs IFK Ostersund

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Umea FC and IFK Ostersund finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Umea FC
44%
Draws
20%
IFK Ostersund
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Umea FC haven't matched IFK Ostersund's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Umea FC Clean Sheet 14%
IFK Ostersund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea FC IFK Ostersund
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Umea FC vs IFK Ostersund
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Umea FC vs IFK Ostersund
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FC 35 / 100
IFK Ostersund 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea FC IFK Ostersund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Umea FC scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

IFK Ostersund let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Umea FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Umea FC VS IFK Ostersund
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Umea FC

(Home)
26 Jul
Umea FC
1 : 0
Taftea IK
28 Jun
Umea FC
1 : 3
FC Jarfalla
21 Jun
Enkopings SK
3 : 1
Umea FC
12 Jun
Umea FC
2 : 0
Pitea
07 Jun
Sollentuna
1 : 1
Umea FC
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IFK Ostersund

(Away)
21 Jun
Umea FF
1 : 1
IFK Ostersund
14 Jun
IFK Ostersund
1 : 1
Kubikenborgs
10 Jun
Fransta IK
1 : 2
IFK Ostersund
06 Jun
IFK Ostersund
0 : 0
Friska Viljor
03 Jun
IFK Ostersund
1 : 0
Kubikenborgs
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