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Umm Al Hassam vs East Riffa

Bahrain Bahrain

Bahrain Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
51' Event
56' Event

AI Match Summary

Umm Al Hassam in this Bahrain Cup matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Umm Al Hassam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Umm Al Hassam
22%
Draws
60%
East Riffa
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: East Riffa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • East Riffa have won more games recently than Umm Al Hassam.
  • Model gives East Riffa a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Cup games in Bahrain Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Umm Al Hassam Clean Sheet 17%
East Riffa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umm Al Hassam East Riffa
Matches Played 12 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 0 9
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2024 Bahrain Cup
Umm Al Hassam vs East Riffa
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umm Al Hassam 20 / 100
East Riffa 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umm Al Hassam East Riffa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Riffa let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

East Riffa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Umm Al Hassam found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (12 games).

Scoring Trends

Umm Al Hassam VS East Riffa
0 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Shabbab541014:513
2Al Khalidiyah532020:411
3East Riffa52035:106
4Umm Al Hassam42024:146
5Tadamun Buri51044:103
6Al-Ittifaq40135:91
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manama Club541015:313
2Al-Hidd53118:110
3Bouri52126:97
4Ali CSC52038:96
5Al-Hala52034:76
6Al Reef50141:131
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Riffa532016:611
2Malkia531110:410
3Al-Budaiya53119:910
4Al-Najma530210:109
5Sitra40043:100
6Al-Ittihad40042:110
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Muharraq550017:315
2Busaiteen531110:510
3Al-Ahli520310:106
4Isa Town51134:84
5Bahrain SC41035:63
6Qalali41034:183