Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Umm-Salal vs Al-Duhail

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Afif A.
37' Event
Sheikh A.
(Penalty)
87' Event
Sheikh A.

AI Match Summary

Umm-Salal in this QSL Cup tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Umm-Salal
22%
Draws
60%
Al-Duhail
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Al-Duhail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Duhail lately — more wins on the board than Umm-Salal.
  • Al-Duhail are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Al-Duhail arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Umm-Salal, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Umm-Salal Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Duhail Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umm-Salal Al-Duhail
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 QSL
Umm-Salal vs Al-Duhail
2:1
Jan 19, 2026 QSL Cup
Umm-Salal vs Al-Duhail
3:0
Sep 12, 2025 QSL
Al-Duhail vs Umm-Salal
4:2
Jan 31, 2025 QSL
Umm-Salal vs Al-Duhail
1:2
Aug 22, 2024 QSL
Al-Duhail vs Umm-Salal
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umm-Salal Compare

Top Goalscorer Afif A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sheikh A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Al-Duhail Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umm-Salal 20 / 100
Al-Duhail 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umm-Salal Al-Duhail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umm-Salal scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Al-Duhail conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Al-Duhail has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Umm-Salal VS Al-Duhail
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Umm-Salal

(Home)
01 May
Al-Gharafa
2 : 1
Umm-Salal
27 Apr
Umm-Salal
1 : 3
Al Ahli
08 Apr
Al Rayyan
3 : 0
Umm-Salal
04 Apr
Shamal
3 : 2
Umm-Salal
28 Mar
Al Rayyan
4 : 3
Umm-Salal
Page 1 of 6

Al-Duhail

(Away)
05 May
Al-Duhail
1 : 4
Al-Sadd
01 May
Al-Duhail
4 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
27 Apr
Qatar SC
1 : 2
Al-Duhail
13 Apr
Al Ahli SC
1 : 0
Al-Duhail
08 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 1
Al-Duhail
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Rayyan1081132:1725
2Umm-Salal1062226:1720
3Muaither SC1062221:1320
4Al Arabi (Qatar)1061327:1619
5Al-Waab1053216:1118
6Al Markhiya1053213:1218
7Al Sailiya1060416:1718
8Al-Shahaniya1052313:1117
9Shamal1043319:1115
10Al Bidda1043315:1415
11Al Khor1041518:1713
12Al Mesaimeer1034318:1713
13Qatar SC1041523:2313
14Al-Kharitiyath1041519:2013
15Al Ahli1023513:219
16Al-Duhail102354:179
17Lusail1014515:267
18Al Wakra1013617:226
19Al-Gharafa1012712:225
20Al-Sadd1012718:315
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup (Play Offs)