Sport Picks
Umraniyespor vs Keciorengucu
Turkey
1. Lig 2025/2026 Ümraniye Belediyesi Şehir Stadyumu, Istanbul 
Match Events
7'
7'
Kocaturk Y.
Assist: Soukou C.
17'
17'
Fernandes J.
Assist: Roshi O.
23'
23'
Fernandes J.
Assist: Ezeh F.
AI Match Summary
Keciorengucu in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Keciorengucu.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Keciorengucu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Keciorengucu have won more games recently than Umraniyespor.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Keciorengucu taking it.
- Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Keciorengucu here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 17%
Keciorengucu Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Umraniyespor | Keciorengucu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Keciorengucu
1:4
Dec 28, 2025 1. Lig
Keciorengucu vs Umraniyespor
3:1
Apr 20, 2025 1. Lig
Keciorengucu vs Umraniyespor
0:1
Dec 15, 2024 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Keciorengucu
1:2
Apr 28, 2024 1. Lig
Keciorengucu vs Umraniyespor
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Umraniyespor Compare
Top Goalscorer Kocaturk Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Keciorengucu Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandes J.
3 Goals Assists Leader Ezeh F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Umraniyespor 20 / 100
Keciorengucu 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Umraniyespor Keciorengucu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KEC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Umraniyespor scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Keciorengucu conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Umraniyespor has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Umraniyespor VS Keciorengucu
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Umraniyespor
(Home) 17 Jul
Umraniyespor
1 : 5 Galatasaray
02 May
Umraniyespor
1 : 4 Keciorengucu
25 Apr
Adanademirspor
1 : 3 Umraniyespor
19 Apr
Umraniyespor
1 : 2 Vanspor FK
13 Apr
Amedspor
2 : 2 Umraniyespor
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Umraniyespor
1 : 5 Galatasaray
02 May
Umraniyespor
1 : 4 Keciorengucu
19 Apr
Umraniyespor
1 : 2 Vanspor FK
08 Apr
Umraniyespor
2 : 0 Sakaryaspor
21 Mar
Umraniyespor
0 : 0 Pendikspor
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Keciorengucu
(Away) 07 May
Corum FK
1 : 0 Keciorengucu
02 May
Umraniyespor
1 : 4 Keciorengucu
26 Apr
Keciorengucu
2 : 1 Manisa FK
19 Apr
Erokspor
1 : 0 Keciorengucu
12 Apr
Keciorengucu
0 : 0 Serik Spor
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Corum FK
1 : 0 Keciorengucu
02 May
Umraniyespor
1 : 4 Keciorengucu
19 Apr
Erokspor
1 : 0 Keciorengucu
08 Apr
Igdir FK
0 : 1 Keciorengucu
15 Mar
Sariyer
3 : 1 Keciorengucu
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erzurumspor FK | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 82:27 | 81 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:42 | 74 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:35 | 74 |
| 4 | Corum FK | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63:39 | 71 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 71:39 | 64 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:33 | 63 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 73:43 | 60 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 47:34 | 60 |
| 9 | Manisa FK | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 57:56 | 55 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 47:43 | 53 |
| 11 | Istanbulspor AS | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Sariyer | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:44 | 52 |
| 13 | Igdir FK | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 52:54 | 50 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 52:47 | 49 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 61:57 | 48 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:51 | 46 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:75 | 39 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 45:72 | 34 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 38 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 33:102 | 14 |
| 20 | Adanademirspor | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 22:169 | -54 |
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
