Sport Picks

Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Ümraniye Belediyesi Şehir Stadyumu

Umraniyespor

5 - 0

Serik Spor

Our Tip

Match Events

Ekincier B.

10'

Guibero R.

21'

Ekincier B.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Umraniyespor in this 1. Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Umraniyespor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Umraniyespor

17%

Draws

13%

Serik Spor

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Umraniyespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Umraniyespor lately — more wins on the board than Serik Spor.
Umraniyespor are the model's pick here, at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 20%

Serik Spor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Umraniyespor	Serik Spor
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	8
Draws	5	2
Losses	14	20
Goals Scored	1.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	1	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 1. Lig

Umraniyespor vs Serik Spor

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

5:0

Aug 15, 2025 1. Lig

Serik Spor vs Umraniyespor

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umraniyespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekincier B.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Hoti E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Serik Spor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umraniyespor 67 / 100

Serik Spor 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Umraniyespor Serik Spor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UMR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Serik Spor has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Umraniyespor's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Serik Spor lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umraniyespor VS Serik Spor

1.38 Goals Scored 1.25

1 Goals Conceded 2

63% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Erzurumspor FK	38	23	12	3	82:27	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	74
4	Corum FK	38	21	8	9	63:39	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	14
20	Adanademirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-54