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Umraniyespor vs Trabzonspor

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Malkocoglu S.
46'
Sub
Malkocoglu S. In: Ozturk A.
Out: Malkocoglu S.
46'
Sub
Pina W. In: Ince T. E.
Out: Pina W.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Umraniyespor and Trabzonspor finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trabzonspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Umraniyespor
44%
Draws
20%
Trabzonspor
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Umraniyespor haven't matched Trabzonspor's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Trabzonspor have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 12%
Trabzonspor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umraniyespor Trabzonspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.43 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.14 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.14 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Umraniyespor vs Trabzonspor
1:3
Mar 4, 2023 Super Lig
Trabzonspor vs Umraniyespor
1:2
Jan 18, 2023 Turkish Cup
Umraniyespor vs Trabzonspor
1:4
Sep 2, 2022 Super Lig
Umraniyespor vs Trabzonspor
0:1
Jul 14, 2021 Club Friendly
Trabzonspor vs Umraniyespor
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umraniyespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaplan E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Trabzonspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Malkocoglu S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nwakaeme A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umraniyespor 35 / 100
Trabzonspor 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umraniyespor Trabzonspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Umraniyespor scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Trabzonspor conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Umraniyespor remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Umraniyespor VS Trabzonspor
1.43 Goals Scored 1.38
2.14 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Umraniyespor

(Home)
17 Jul
Umraniyespor
1 : 5
Galatasaray
02 May
Umraniyespor
1 : 4
Keciorengucu
25 Apr
Adanademirspor
1 : 3
Umraniyespor
19 Apr
Umraniyespor
1 : 2
Vanspor FK
13 Apr
Amedspor
2 : 2
Umraniyespor
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Trabzonspor

(Away)
22 May
Trabzonspor
2 : 1
Konyaspor
17 May
Trabzonspor
0 : 3
Genclerbirligi
13 May
Genclerbirligi
1 : 2
Trabzonspor
09 May
Besiktas
1 : 2
Trabzonspor
02 May
Trabzonspor
1 : 1
Goztepe
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