Sport Picks

Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Ümraniye Belediyesi Şehir Stadyumu, Istanbul

Umraniyespor

1 - 2

Vanspor FK

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Bars E. In: Regis F.

Out: Bars E.

46'

Sub

Traore A. In: Ozcan M.

Out: Traore A.

60'

Ozcan M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Umraniyespor and Vanspor FK finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vanspor FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Umraniyespor

40%

Draws

29%

Vanspor FK

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Vanspor FK's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Umraniyespor have produced (1.25).
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Umraniyespor have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 20%

Vanspor FK Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Umraniyespor	Vanspor FK
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	11
Draws	5	5
Losses	14	14
Goals Scored	1.25	1.38
Goals Conceded	1	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 1. Lig

Umraniyespor vs Vanspor FK

1:2

Dec 14, 2025 1. Lig

Vanspor FK vs Umraniyespor

0:1

Mar 25, 2012 3. Lig Group 1

Umraniyespor vs Vanspor FK

2:1

Dec 22, 2011 3. Lig Group 1

Vanspor FK vs Umraniyespor

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umraniyespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoti E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Vanspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozcan M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Hostikka S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umraniyespor 32 / 100

Vanspor FK 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Umraniyespor Vanspor FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vanspor FK conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Umraniyespor's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Vanspor FK's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Umraniyespor VS Vanspor FK

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

1 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Umraniyespor

(Home)

17 Jul

Umraniyespor

1 : 5

Galatasaray

02 May

Umraniyespor

1 : 4

Keciorengucu

25 Apr

Adanademirspor

1 : 3

Umraniyespor

19 Apr

Umraniyespor

1 : 2

Vanspor FK

13 Apr

Amedspor

2 : 2

Umraniyespor

Page 1 of 6

Vanspor FK

(Away)

01 May

Hatayspor

3 : 1

Vanspor FK

25 Apr

Vanspor FK

1 : 3

Istanbulspor AS

19 Apr

Umraniyespor

1 : 2

Vanspor FK

12 Apr

Vanspor FK

0 : 1

Manisa FK

08 Apr

Serik Spor

1 : 6

Vanspor FK

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Erzurumspor FK	38	23	12	3	82:27	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	74
4	Corum FK	38	21	8	9	63:39	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	14
20	Adanademirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-54

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