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UNAN-Managua vs Managua FC

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Herrera C.
18'
Santana M.
32' Event
Coreas C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera 2025/2026 game between UNAN-Managua and Managua FC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UNAN-Managua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
UNAN-Managua
33%
Draws
40%
Managua FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Managua FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Managua FC come out ahead of UNAN-Managua on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Managua FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
UNAN-Managua Clean Sheet 23%
Managua FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAN-Managua Managua FC
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga Primera
Managua FC vs UNAN-Managua
1:1
Feb 20, 2026 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Managua FC
3:1
Nov 5, 2025 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Managua FC
0:3
Sep 18, 2025 Liga Primera
Managua FC vs UNAN-Managua
1:0
Apr 16, 2025 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Managua FC
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAN-Managua Compare

Top Goalscorer Brenes A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Treminio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Managua FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Coreas C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAN-Managua 29 / 100
Managua FC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAN-Managua Managua FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNAN-Managua scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Managua FC conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: UNAN-Managua stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAN-Managua VS Managua FC
1 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAN-Managua

(Home)
18 Jul
Esteli
1 : 1
UNAN-Managua
24 May
UNAN-Managua
2 : 1
Matiguas FC
17 May
Matiguas FC
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
25 Apr
UNAN-Managua
1 : 3
Sport Sebaco
19 Apr
Managua FC
1 : 1
UNAN-Managua
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Managua FC

(Away)
26 Jul
Managua FC
3 : 0
Jalapa
19 Jul
Managua FC
2 : 1
Rancho Santana
12 Jul
Managua FC
2 : 0
Rancho Santana
05 Jul
Rancho Santana
2 : 3
Managua FC
30 Apr
Managua FC
2 : 4
Matagalpa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diriangen18123340:1939
2Esteli18114341:1937
3Jalapa1896329:1633
4Managua FC1885522:1829
5Matagalpa1857630:2422
6Walter Ferreti1856718:2821
7Sport Sebaco18621023:2420
8UNAN-Managua18441021:3416
9Rancho Santana18441020:4316
10Real Madriz18431114:3315
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)