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Undy vs Llantwit Major

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2021/2022
Undy Logo

Undy

1 - 3
FT
Llantwit Major Logo

Llantwit Major

Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Cripps B.
71' Event
Jones L. R.
85' Event
Kinsella C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Llantwit Major in this Cymru South 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Llantwit Major.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Undy
15%
Draws
85%
Llantwit Major
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llantwit Major

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Llantwit Major have won more games recently than Undy.
  • Win probability leans Llantwit Major's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Undy Clean Sheet 10%
Llantwit Major Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Undy Llantwit Major
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 5 12
Draws 2 8
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 1.06 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.97 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2022 Cymru South
Undy vs Llantwit Major
1:3
Apr 15, 2022 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Undy
2:0
Feb 8, 2020 Cymru South
Undy vs Llantwit Major
0:3
Oct 5, 2019 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Undy
1:1
Dec 8, 2018 Division 1
Undy vs Llantwit Major
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Undy Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Llantwit Major Compare

Top Goalscorer Cripps B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jones L. R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Undy 14 / 100
Llantwit Major 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Undy Llantwit Major

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llantwit Major Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Llantwit Major let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.

Difficult form: Llantwit Major registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Undy scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Undy VS Llantwit Major
0 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Undy

(Home)
26 Jun
Caerau Ely
2 : 0
Undy
13 Jul
Undy
1 : 4
Newport
08 Jul
Undy
0 : 4
Newport
01 Jul
Undy
0 : 7
Newport
30 Apr
Cambrian United
3 : 0
Undy
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Llantwit Major

(Away)
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1
Llantwit Major
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1
Llantwit Major
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1
Baglan Dragons
07 Aug
Afan Lido
5 : 0
Llantwit Major
01 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 3
Pure Swansea
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llantwit Major 30 24 2 4 73:31 74
2 Pontypridd United 30 21 6 3 79:30 69
3 Briton Ferry 30 17 5 8 76:36 56
4 Cambrian United 30 15 6 9 73:42 51
5 Carmarthen Town 30 15 9 6 52:25 51
6 Goytre Utd 30 15 6 9 55:36 51
7 Taffs Well 30 14 7 9 57:47 49
8 Pure Swansea 30 11 7 12 44:43 40
9 Llanelli 30 11 7 12 43:54 40
10 Afan Lido 30 12 3 15 45:67 39
11 Trefelin 30 9 10 11 58:51 37
12 Ammanford Town 30 10 4 16 58:56 34
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 10 4 16 43:74 34
14 Risca United 30 7 10 13 43:51 31
15 Undy 30 5 2 23 41:84 17
16 Port Talbot 30 0 0 30 8:121 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)