Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2021

Tres Lagoas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uniao ABC play Tres Lagoas in the Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense 2021. Uniao ABC are favorites here. Recently, Uniao ABC averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Tres Lagoas averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.75 conceded. In past meetings, Uniao ABC won 2, Tres Lagoas won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 16, 2021 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Uniao ABC and 1.63 for Tres Lagoas. This points to a Uniao ABC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%

Uniao ABC

15%

Draws

19%

Tres Lagoas

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uniao ABC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence

Uniao ABC picked up more points recently compared to Tres Lagoas.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Uniao ABC Clean Sheet 14%

Tres Lagoas Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Uniao ABC	Tres Lagoas
Matches Played	29	8
Wins	7	1
Draws	3	0
Losses	19	7
Goals Scored	0.93	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.9	2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense

Uniao ABC vs Tres Lagoas

Possession: 40% - 43% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Mar 17, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense

Tres Lagoas vs Uniao ABC

Possession: 44% - 45% Cards: 0 - 1

1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao ABC 62 / 100

Tres Lagoas 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Uniao ABC Tres Lagoas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao ABC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Uniao ABC & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.5%

1.72

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uniao ABC attacking → ← attacking Tres Lagoas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao ABC scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Tres Lagoas let in goals in 100% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Uniao ABC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tres Lagoas lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 3

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dourados	8	6	0	2	17:8	18
2	Aquidauanense	8	5	1	2	13:4	16
3	Operario MS	8	4	0	4	19:11	12
4	Aguia Negra	8	3	2	3	16:13	11
5	Novoperario	8	0	1	7	2:31	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Costa Rica	8	6	2	0	14:2	20
2	Comercial MS	8	3	3	2	11:10	12
3	Uniao ABC	8	3	2	3	12:11	11
4	Chapadao	8	3	1	4	13:14	10
5	Tres Lagoas	8	1	0	7	9:22	3