Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uniao Barbarense vs Mauaense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uniao Barbarense play Mauaense in the Paulista A4 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uniao Barbarense averaged 1.39 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. Mauaense averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.12 conceded. In past meetings, Uniao Barbarense won 1, Mauaense won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 18, 2023 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Uniao Barbarense and 1.00 for Mauaense. This points to a Uniao Barbarense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Uniao Barbarense
35%
Draws
24%
Mauaense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Uniao Barbarense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Uniao Barbarense picked up more points recently compared to Mauaense.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Uniao Barbarense Clean Sheet 23%
Mauaense Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Barbarense Mauaense
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 17 8
Draws 8 14
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.39 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2023 Paulista A4
Mauaense vs Uniao Barbarense
2:0
Jul 5, 2023 Paulista A4
Uniao Barbarense vs Mauaense
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Barbarense 42 / 100
Mauaense 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Barbarense Mauaense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Uniao Barbarense or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uniao Barbarense attacking → ← attacking Mauaense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Barbarense scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Mauaense let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Uniao Barbarense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mauaense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 38
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Penapolense63215:211
2Francana622211:108
3Jacarei FC61414:47
4Amparo SP62046:106
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vocem63306:312
2Taquaritinga632110:511
3Maua FC61329:66
4Manthiqueira61052:133
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1XV de Jau651011:116
2Uniao Barbarense62135:87
3Tanabi61233:85
4Mauaense61234:65
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SKA Brasil642021:114
2Catanduva FC63219:311
3Independente SP63036:99
4Guarulhos60061:240
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uniao Sao Joao64117:313
2America SP63127:410
3Nacional SP63127:510
4Flamengo SP60151:101
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao-Carlense63309:212
2Rio Branco SP623110:79
3Jabaquara62228:68
4Fernandopolis61053:153