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Uniao Lamas vs FC Alpendorada

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Barros J.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between Uniao Lamas and FC Alpendorada finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uniao Lamas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Uniao Lamas
11%
Draws
80%
FC Alpendorada
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FC Alpendorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Alpendorada carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Alpendorada a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Uniao Lamas Clean Sheet 17%
FC Alpendorada Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Lamas FC Alpendorada
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Uniao Lamas vs FC Alpendorada
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Alpendorada vs Uniao Lamas
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Uniao Lamas vs FC Alpendorada
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Alpendorada vs Uniao Lamas
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Lamas Compare

Top Goalscorer Barros J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

FC Alpendorada Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Lamas 12 / 100
FC Alpendorada 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Lamas FC Alpendorada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Lamas scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

FC Alpendorada has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Uniao Lamas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Lamas VS FC Alpendorada
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Lamas

(Home)
25 Jul
Sousense
2 : 1
Uniao Lamas
22 Jul
Uniao Lamas
0 : 0
Os Marialvas
18 Jul
Uniao Lamas
0 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
18 Apr
Uniao Lamas
0 : 0
SC Salgueiros
12 Apr
Beira Mar
4 : 0
Uniao Lamas
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FC Alpendorada

(Away)
18 Apr
FC Alpendorada
3 : 4
GD Resende
12 Apr
SC Salgueiros
0 : 2
FC Alpendorada
04 Apr
FC Alpendorada
0 : 1
Beira Mar
22 Mar
Anadia
0 : 3
FC Alpendorada
15 Mar
FC Alpendorada
1 : 0
CD Gouveia
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rebordosa26177241:1758
2Leca26149350:2351
3Cinfaes261010633:2140
4Beira Mar26108830:2238
5FC Alpendorada26911630:2238
6Florgrade26910728:2837
7Vila Mea26713629:2834
8Uniao Lamas26961127:3333
9SC Salgueiros26711820:1932
10Anadia26791027:3330
11Aparecida26941336:5128
12GD Resende266101027:3128
13SC Vila Real26512923:3027
14CD Gouveia26142114:577
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)