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Uniao Mogi vs Maua FC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Thiago Ramos
46' Event
Beckham J.
62' Event
Thiago Ramos

AI Match Summary

Maua FC in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maua FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Uniao Mogi
30%
Draws
34%
Maua FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uniao Mogi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Uniao Mogi haven't matched Maua FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Uniao Mogi a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Uniao Mogi Clean Sheet 16%
Maua FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Mogi Maua FC
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 11
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Paulista B
Maua FC vs Uniao Mogi
0:3
Jun 27, 2026 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Maua FC
2:3
Jun 6, 2026 Paulista B
Maua FC vs Uniao Mogi
0:0
May 3, 2026 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Maua FC
2:3
Jun 14, 2025 Paulista B
Uniao Mogi vs Maua FC
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uniao Mogi Compare

Top Goalscorer Beckham J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kenzo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Maua FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiago Ramos
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rocha P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Mogi 36 / 100
Maua FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Mogi Maua FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Uniao Mogi's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Maua FC conceded in 66% of 35 recent games.

Uniao Mogi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Mogi VS Maua FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Itaqua6
Paulinia FU1
Maua FC3
Uniao Mogi5
Independente SP4
Tupa0
Paulinense3
Sao Carlos0
Jose Bonifacio EC4
Manthiqueira1
America SP3
Santacruzense0
Flamengo SP2
Audax-SP1
Matonense1
Assisense0
Quarter-finals
Itaqua4
Uniao Mogi1
Independente SP1
Paulinense0
Jose Bonifacio EC0
America SP0
Flamengo SP1
Matonense0
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-