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Uniao Paraense vs Pedreira

Brazil Brazil

Paraense B1 2024
Sat, Oct 5, 2024
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uniao Paraense play Pedreira in the Paraense B1 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uniao Paraense averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Pedreira averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Uniao Paraense won 0, Pedreira won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 5, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Uniao Paraense and 0.92 for Pedreira. This points to a Pedreira double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Uniao Paraense
35%
Draws
46%
Pedreira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pedreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Uniao Paraense picked up more points recently compared to Pedreira.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.92 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Uniao Paraense Clean Sheet 24%
Pedreira Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Paraense Pedreira
Matches Played 16 10
Wins 1 6
Draws 9 1
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 0.75 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Paraense A2
Uniao Paraense vs Pedreira
0:0
Sep 11, 2024 Paraense A2
Pedreira vs Uniao Paraense
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Paraense 22 / 100
Pedreira 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Paraense Pedreira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pedreira or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uniao Paraense attacking → ← attacking Pedreira

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Paraense scored in 56% of their last 16 games.

Pedreira let in goals in 60% of their last 10 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Uniao Paraense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Pedreira lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 19
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.20
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Paragominas632111:411
2Capitao Poco63126:510
3Pinheirense62316:69
4Santos PA60241:92
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Izabelense63309:212
2Amazonia IFC62225:48
3Fonte Nova61325:106
4Uniao Paraense60423:64
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Raimundo PA431010:110
2ESMAC41214:65
3CA Vila Rica40132:91
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Independente42025:66
2Carajas41217:65
3Itupiranga41215:55