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Uniao Rondonopolis vs Araguaia

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Matogrossense 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Uniao Rondonopolis
28%
Draws
22%
Araguaia
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Uniao Rondonopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Araguaia haven't matched Uniao Rondonopolis's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Uniao Rondonopolis taking it.
  • Uniao Rondonopolis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uniao Rondonopolis, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Uniao Rondonopolis Clean Sheet 20%
Araguaia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uniao Rondonopolis Araguaia
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 12 5
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Matogrossense
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Araguaia
4:1
Feb 9, 2020 Matogrossense
Araguaia vs Uniao Rondonopolis
0:1
Mar 29, 2019 Matogrossense
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Araguaia
1:1
Mar 24, 2019 Matogrossense
Araguaia vs Uniao Rondonopolis
0:3
Jan 27, 2019 Matogrossense
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Araguaia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uniao Rondonopolis 49 / 100
Araguaia 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uniao Rondonopolis Araguaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Araguaia conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Uniao Rondonopolis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Araguaia's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Uniao Rondonopolis VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uniao Rondonopolis

(Home)
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
30 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 2
Mixto
23 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
2 : 3
Ceilandia
16 May
Operario VG
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
09 May
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
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Araguaia

(Away)
24 Feb
Uniao Rondonopolis
4 : 1
Araguaia
18 Feb
Araguaia
1 : 2
Operario VG
15 Feb
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Araguaia
11 Feb
Araguaia
1 : 2
Mixto
04 Feb
Luverdense
0 : 0
Araguaia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Luverdense1
Sinop FC0
Dom Bosco0
Cuiaba9
Uniao Rondonopolis4
Araguaia1
Mixto0
Operario VG4
Semi-finals
Luverdense0
Cuiaba5
Uniao Rondonopolis0
Operario VG1
Final
Cuiaba4
Operario VG2