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Unidad Malabo vs Elgeco Plus Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ranaivoson E.
69' Event
Ondo J.
72' Event
Ondo J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Unidad Malabo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Unidad Malabo
25%
Draws
35%
Elgeco Plus
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Unidad Malabo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elgeco Plus come out ahead of Unidad Malabo on wins alone.
  • Unidad Malabo are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Elgeco Plus arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Unidad Malabo, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Unidad Malabo Clean Sheet 13%
Elgeco Plus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unidad Malabo Elgeco Plus
Matches Played 2 20
Wins 1 4
Draws 0 6
Losses 1 10
Goals Scored 1.5 0.9
Goals Conceded 2 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2018 CAF Confederation Cup
Unidad Malabo vs Elgeco Plus
2:1
Nov 28, 2018 CAF Confederation Cup
Elgeco Plus vs Unidad Malabo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unidad Malabo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ondo J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Elgeco Plus Compare

Top Goalscorer Ranaivoson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unidad Malabo 40 / 100
Elgeco Plus 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unidad Malabo Elgeco Plus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unidad Malabo scored in 100% of their last 2 games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Elgeco Plus has conceded goals in 75% of their last 20 outings.

Solid form: Unidad Malabo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Unidad Malabo VS Elgeco Plus
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Unidad Malabo

(Home)
05 Dec
Unidad Malabo
2 : 1
Elgeco Plus
28 Nov
Elgeco Plus
3 : 1
Unidad Malabo

Elgeco Plus

(Away)
27 Sept
Silver Strikers
0 : 0
Elgeco Plus
21 Sept
Elgeco Plus
1 : 1
Silver Strikers
25 Aug
CD Lunda Sul
0 : 0
Elgeco Plus
21 Aug
Elgeco Plus
1 : 1
CD Lunda Sul
27 Aug
Elgeco Plus
1 : 3
Gaborone Utd
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mahia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Ahly Tripoli -
TBD -
Vital'O 1
New Star 4
Al Ahly Benghazi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Green Eagles 5
Young Buffaloes 2
Diables Noirs 1
Hussein Dey 3
Al-Hilal Omdurman -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hilal El Obied -
TBD -
Free State Stars 0
Mukura Victory Sports 1
Nkana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Motema Pembe 5
Anges Fatima 2
Armed Forces 1
San Pedro 2
Cotonsport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kariobangi Sharks 9
AS Arta 1
Eding Sport -
Asante Kotoko -
Zesco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Elgeco Plus 4
Unidad Malabo 3
Zimamoto 2
Kaizer Chiefs 5
Stade Malien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyuki 2
Ahli Shendi 1
Orapa United 0
Petro Atletico 6
African Stars -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cercle Mberi Sportif 2
Silver Strikers 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Vipers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Green Buffaloes FC 2
Al Merreikh Juba 0
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
IR Tanger -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CotonTchad 3
Gomido 1
TBD -
Zamalek -
Otoho d'Oyo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtibwa Sugar 5
Northern Dynamo 0
TBD -
Kampala City -
Bantu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bel Abbes 4
Liberia Registry 1
Mechal SC 1
Rangers International 5
Al Nasr -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Masry -
TBD -
Wakriya AC 3
Salitas 3
Jimma Aba Jifar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Generation Foot 1
Djoliba 0
AS Garde Nationale 0
Hassania Agadir 4
ASC Jaraaf -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Ittihad 8
Miracle Club 0
TBD -
Berkane -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Mahia -
TBD -
Al Ahly Tripoli 1
New Star 1
Al Ahly Benghazi -
TBD -
Green Eagles 1
Hussein Dey 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman -
TBD -
Hilal El Obied 0
Mukura Victory Sports 1
Nkana -
TBD -
Motema Pembe 1
San Pedro 3
Cotonsport -
TBD -
Kariobangi Sharks 1
Asante Kotoko 2
Zesco -
TBD -
Elgeco Plus 0
Kaizer Chiefs 6
Stade Malien -
TBD -
Nyuki 0
Petro Atletico 2
African Stars -
TBD -
Cercle Mberi Sportif 1
Raja Casablanca 5
Vipers -
TBD -
Green Buffaloes FC 2
CS Sfaxien 4
IR Tanger -
TBD -
CotonTchad 2
Zamalek 7
Otoho d'Oyo -
TBD -
Mtibwa Sugar 1
Kampala City 5
Bantu -
TBD -
Bel Abbes 0
Rangers International 2
Al Nasr -
TBD -
Al Masry 0
Salitas 2
Jimma Aba Jifar -
TBD -
Generation Foot 1
Hassania Agadir 2
ASC Jaraaf -
TBD -
Al Ittihad 0
Berkane 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Mahia 2
New Star 1
Al Ahly Benghazi 2
Hussein Dey 3
Al-Hilal Omdurman 3
Mukura Victory Sports 1
Nkana 3
San Pedro 0
Cotonsport 3
Asante Kotoko 5
Zesco 5
Kaizer Chiefs 2
Stade Malien 2
Petro Atletico 3
African Stars 1
Raja Casablanca 2
Vipers 0
CS Sfaxien 3
IR Tanger 1
Zamalek 3
Otoho d'Oyo 3
Kampala City 2
Bantu 2
Rangers International 4
Al Nasr 2
Salitas 3
Jimma Aba Jifar 0
Hassania Agadir 5
ASC Jaraaf 3
Berkane 5
TBD -
TBD -