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Union Club Ceares vs Aviles Stadium

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ohene D.
65' Event
Suarez S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between Union Club Ceares and Aviles Stadium finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aviles Stadium.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Union Club Ceares
6%
Draws
4%
Aviles Stadium
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Union Club Ceares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Union Club Ceares carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Union Club Ceares's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Union Club Ceares Clean Sheet 68%
Aviles Stadium Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Club Ceares Aviles Stadium
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 7 14
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Aviles Stadium
0:2
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Aviles Stadium vs Union Club Ceares
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Aviles Stadium
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Aviles Stadium vs Union Club Ceares
3:2
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Aviles Stadium
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Club Ceares Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Aviles Stadium Compare

Top Goalscorer Ohene D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suarez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Club Ceares 95 / 100
Aviles Stadium 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Club Ceares Aviles Stadium

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Club Ceares's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Union Club Ceares has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aviles Stadium lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Club Ceares VS Aviles Stadium
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llanera34294171:1891
2Covadonga34255488:2480
3Gijon B341910579:2967
4Caudal Deportivo34206859:3966
5CD Mosconia341671146:2955
6EI San Martin341491136:3651
7L Entregu CF3413101141:4249
8Union Club Ceares341291339:4045
9Praviano341191436:4242
10Club Siero341181539:4941
11CD Colunga341091538:5939
12Llanes348131344:5137
13Aviles Stadium346151321:4033
14Gijon Industrial347111636:5732
15Lenense347111636:5832
16Navarro346131538:5331
17Tuilla34762131:6027
18Real Titanico34392222:7418