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Union Club Ceares vs Cudillero

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union Club Ceares play Cudillero in the Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014. Union Club Ceares are favorites here. Recently, Union Club Ceares averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Cudillero averaged 0 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Union Club Ceares won 2, Cudillero won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 15, 2015 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Union Club Ceares and 1.00 for Cudillero. This points to a Union Club Ceares double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Union Club Ceares
15%
Draws
14%
Cudillero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Club Ceares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Union Club Ceares picked up more points recently compared to Cudillero.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 11%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21%
Union Club Ceares Clean Sheet 23%
Cudillero Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Club Ceares Cudillero
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 0
Draws 7 0
Losses 12 30
Goals Scored 1.22 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Cudillero vs Union Club Ceares
0:2
Oct 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Cudillero
2:0
Apr 17, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Cudillero
0:2
Dec 1, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Cudillero vs Union Club Ceares
2:0
May 4, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Cudillero
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Club Ceares 69 / 100
Cudillero 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Club Ceares Cudillero

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Club Ceares Win (1)
Secondary Pick Union Club Ceares & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.9%
1.59
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +46.1%
7.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Union Club Ceares attacking → ← attacking Cudillero

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Club Ceares scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Cudillero let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Union Club Ceares went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cudillero lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 0
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lealtad38237862:2776
2Langreo38237862:2876
3Union Club Ceares382111654:3174
4Praviano38219857:3672
5Covadonga382011770:3571
6Tuilla381971267:3864
7Universidad Oviedo381971252:3064
8Cudillero381961359:5163
9L Entregu CF381781348:3959
10Condal3814131147:3455
11Real Aviles B3813101551:5549
12Real Oviedo B381461846:5348
13Basico Urraca3810161255:5446
14Atletico de Lugones3812101649:5546
15Lenense381082029:5438
16Gijon Industrial38992021:5036
17Andes CF381042432:7734
18Candas CF388102035:5334
19Luarca386102223:6628
20Real Tapia38552823:7620