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Union de Mohammedia vs Mouloudia Oujda Prediction & H2H Stats

Morocco Morocco

Coupe du Trone 2015
Union de Mohammedia Logo

Union de Mohammedia

2 - 1
FT
Mouloudia Oujda Logo

Mouloudia Oujda

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
45' Event
74' Event
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Union de Mohammedia in this Coupe du Trone 2015 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Union de Mohammedia
35%
Draws
28%
Mouloudia Oujda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union de Mohammedia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Union de Mohammedia haven't matched Mouloudia Oujda's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Union de Mohammedia a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Mouloudia Oujda arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Union de Mohammedia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Union de Mohammedia Clean Sheet 20%
Mouloudia Oujda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union de Mohammedia Mouloudia Oujda
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 13
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.8 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2015 Coupe du Trone
Union de Mohammedia vs Mouloudia Oujda
2:1
Aug 22, 2015 Coupe du Trone
Mouloudia Oujda vs Union de Mohammedia
0:0
Feb 28, 2015 Botola 2
Union de Mohammedia vs Mouloudia Oujda
0:1
Nov 1, 2014 Botola 2
Mouloudia Oujda vs Union de Mohammedia
2:0
Feb 16, 2014 Botola 2
Union de Mohammedia vs Mouloudia Oujda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union de Mohammedia 36 / 100
Mouloudia Oujda 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union de Mohammedia Mouloudia Oujda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mouloudia Oujda let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Union de Mohammedia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Union de Mohammedia scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mouloudia Oujda
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Union de Mohammedia

(Home)
09 Sept
Union de Mohammedia
0 : 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
01 Sept
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
0 : 0
Union de Mohammedia
28 Aug
Union de Mohammedia
2 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
22 Aug
Mouloudia Oujda
0 : 0
Union de Mohammedia
17 May
Wydad Fes
2 : 3
Union de Mohammedia
Page 1 of 6

Mouloudia Oujda

(Away)
03 Oct
Mouloudia Oujda
2 : 1
Dcheira
27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
05 Jul
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1
Wydad Fes
27 Jun
Amal Tiznit
1 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
20 Jun
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Benguerir
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Raja Casablanca -
TBD -
Fath Inzegane 0
Jeunesse Massira 2
Kasba Tadla 2
Amal Souk Sebt 1
TBD -
Kawkab Marrakech -
Olympique de Safi -
TBD -
Raja Beni Mellal 0
Dcheira 1
Sale 3
Hassania Oujda 0
TBD -
Maghreb Fez -
KAC Kenitra -
TBD -
TBD -
Berkane -
RAC Casablanca 1
Amal Tiznit 0
TBD -
Wydad Athletic -
Difaa El Jadidi -
TBD -
TBD -
Hassania Agadir -
Dakhla 2
TAS Casablanca 1
TBD -
FUS Rabat -
Chabab Atlas Khenifra -
TBD -
TBD -
Ittihad Khemisset -
Mouloudia Oujda 2
Etudiants Tetouan 1
Wydad Fes 2
Union de Mohammedia 3
FAR Rabat -
TBD -
TBD -
Moghreb Tetouan -
Widad Temara 5
Toulal Meknes 2
TBD -
Hoceima -
IR Tanger 2
Khmissate 0
Wydad Tanger 0
COD Meknes 1
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 4
COLSF 0
Chabab Houara 0
Youssoufia Berrechid 2
Rachad Bernoussi 3
USM Oujda 1
US Temara 1
Stade Marocain 2
Union Ait Melloul 3
Rapide Oued Zem 0
TBD -
Olympique Khouribga -
1/16-finals
Raja Casablanca 2
Jeunesse Massira 2
Kasba Tadla 1
Kawkab Marrakech 6
Olympique de Safi 3
Dcheira 0
Sale 1
Maghreb Fez 4
KAC Kenitra 2
Berkane 2
RAC Casablanca 1
Wydad Athletic 5
Difaa El Jadidi 4
Hassania Agadir 3
Dakhla 0
FUS Rabat 8
Chabab Atlas Khenifra 1
Ittihad Khemisset 0
Mouloudia Oujda 1
Union de Mohammedia 2
FAR Rabat 5
Moghreb Tetouan 4
Widad Temara 3
Hoceima 4
IR Tanger 5
COD Meknes 1
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 0
Youssoufia Berrechid 4
Rachad Bernoussi 1
Stade Marocain 0
Union Ait Melloul 1
Olympique Khouribga 1
1/8-finals
Raja Casablanca 2
Kawkab Marrakech 1
Olympique de Safi 2
Maghreb Fez 3
KAC Kenitra 2
Wydad Athletic 1
Difaa El Jadidi 1
FUS Rabat 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra 1
Union de Mohammedia 0
FAR Rabat 0
Hoceima 1
IR Tanger 2
Youssoufia Berrechid 1
Rachad Bernoussi 0
Olympique Khouribga 5
Quarter-finals
Raja Casablanca 3
Maghreb Fez 2
KAC Kenitra 1
FUS Rabat 2
Chabab Atlas Khenifra 2
Hoceima 1
IR Tanger 2
Olympique Khouribga 3
Semi-finals
Raja Casablanca 3
FUS Rabat 3
Chabab Atlas Khenifra 2
Olympique Khouribga 3
Final
FUS Rabat 0
Olympique Khouribga 1