Sport Picks

Argentina

Copa Argentina Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario

Union de Santa Fe

0 - 2

Independiente

Our Tip

Match Events

Rodriguez M.

Montiel S.

Perez Curci M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Independiente in this Copa Argentina tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Union de Santa Fe

39%

Draws

30%

Independiente

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Independiente lately — more wins on the board than Union de Santa Fe.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Independiente arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Independiente, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Union de Santa Fe Clean Sheet 16%

Independiente Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Union de Santa Fe	Independiente
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	10	15
Draws	9	7
Losses	10	7
Goals Scored	1.5	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Copa Argentina

Union de Santa Fe vs Independiente

0:2

Mar 10, 2026 Liga Profesional

Independiente vs Union de Santa Fe

4:4

Nov 6, 2024 Liga Profesional

Independiente vs Union de Santa Fe

3:0

Jun 24, 2023 Liga Profesional

Union de Santa Fe vs Independiente

3:0

Sep 19, 2022 Liga Profesional

Union de Santa Fe vs Independiente

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union de Santa Fe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Independiente Compare

Top Goalscorer Montiel S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gutierrez M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union de Santa Fe 31 / 100

Independiente 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Union de Santa Fe Independiente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Union de Santa Fe's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Independiente let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Union de Santa Fe remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Union de Santa Fe VS Independiente

1.5 Goals Scored 1.63

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Union de Santa Fe

(Home)

22 May

Union de Santa Fe

0 : 2

Independiente

12 May

CA Belgrano de Cordoba

2 : 0

Union de Santa Fe

10 May

Ind. Rivadavia

1 : 2

Union de Santa Fe

02 May

Union de Santa Fe

1 : 1

Talleres Cordoba

27 Apr

Velez Sarsfield

2 : 2

Union de Santa Fe

Page 1 of 6

Independiente

(Away)

22 May

Union de Santa Fe

0 : 2

Independiente

10 May

Rosario Central

3 : 1

Independiente

02 May

San Lorenzo

1 : 2

Independiente

24 Apr

Deportivo Riestra

2 : 0

Independiente

18 Apr

Independiente

3 : 1

Defensa y Justicia

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

San Lorenzo5

Deportivo Rincon0

Deportivo Riestra1

Deportivo Maipu0

Newells Old Boys0

Acassuso2

Gimnasia L.P.4

Deportivo Camioneros1

Banfield3

Real Pilar0

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto0

San Martin T.1

Godoy Cruz0

Deportivo Moron1

Argentinos Jrs1

Midland2

Racing Club1

San Martin Formosa0

Defensa y Justicia2

Chaco For Ever1

Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)2

Gimnasia Jujuy3

CA Belgrano de Cordoba3

Atl. Rafaela0

Velez Sarsfield4

Deportivo Armenio1

Gimnasia Mendoza0

Gimnasia y Tiro1

Sarmiento Junin1

Tristan Suarez0

Boca Juniors2

Gimnasia Chivilcoy0

River Plate1

Ciudad Bolivar0

Aldosivi3

San Miguel0

Ind. Rivadavia2

CA Estudiantes0

Tigre2

Claypole0

Talleres Cordoba2

Argentino de Merlo0

Atl. Tucuman2

Sportivo Barracas1

Union de Santa Fe2

Agropecuario0

Independiente4

Biblioteca Atenas2

Platense1

Argentino MM0

San Martin S.J.2

Deportivo Madryn0

Instituto2

Atletico Atlanta0

Lanus4

Sarmiento de La Banda1

Estudiantes L.P.4

Ituzaingo0

Rosario Central2

Sportivo Belgrano0

Barracas Central3

Temperley2

Huracan2

Olimpo Bahia Blanca1

1/16-finals

San Lorenzo1

Deportivo Riestra2

Acassuso0

Gimnasia L.P.3

Banfield2

San Martin T.1

Deportivo Moron1

Midland2

Racing Club4

Defensa y Justicia1

Gimnasia Jujuy2

CA Belgrano de Cordoba3

Velez Sarsfield2

Gimnasia y Tiro0

Sarmiento Junin0

Boca Juniors2

River Plate1

Aldosivi3

Ind. Rivadavia1

Tigre0

Talleres Cordoba0

Atl. Tucuman3

Union de Santa Fe0

Independiente2

Platense1

San Martin S.J.0

Instituto2

Lanus1

Estudiantes L.P.3

Rosario Central0

Barracas Central1

Huracan0

1/8-finals

Deportivo Riestra-

Gimnasia L.P.-

Banfield-

Midland-

Racing Club-

CA Belgrano de Cordoba-

Velez Sarsfield-

Boca Juniors-

Aldosivi-

Ind. Rivadavia-

Atl. Tucuman-

Independiente-

Platense-

Instituto-

Estudiantes L.P.-

Barracas Central-

Quarter-finals

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-