Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union de Santa Fe vs Independiente

Argentina Argentina

Copa Argentina Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario
Union de Santa Fe Logo

Union de Santa Fe

0 - 2
FT
Independiente Logo

Independiente

Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Rodriguez M.
5' Event
Montiel S.
9'
Perez Curci M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Union de Santa Fe
20%
Draws
38%
Independiente
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union de Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Independiente lately — more wins on the board than Union de Santa Fe.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Union de Santa Fe taking it.
  • Independiente arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Independiente, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Union de Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%
Independiente Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union de Santa Fe Independiente
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Independiente
1:2
May 22, 2026 Copa Argentina
Union de Santa Fe vs Independiente
0:2
Mar 10, 2026 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Union de Santa Fe
4:4
Nov 6, 2024 Liga Profesional
Independiente vs Union de Santa Fe
3:0
Jun 24, 2023 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Independiente
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union de Santa Fe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Independiente Compare

Top Goalscorer Montiel S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gutierrez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union de Santa Fe 68 / 100
Independiente 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union de Santa Fe Independiente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union de Santa Fe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Union de Santa Fe's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Independiente let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Union de Santa Fe remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Union de Santa Fe VS Independiente
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union de Santa Fe

(Home)
19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2
Independiente
12 Sept
Talleres Cordoba
2 : 1
Union de Santa Fe
08 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
3 : 2
Instituto
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
21 Aug
Aldosivi
1 : 3
Union de Santa Fe
Page 1 of 7

Independiente

(Away)
19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2
Independiente
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1
San Lorenzo
06 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
0 : 1
Independiente
30 Aug
Independiente
0 : 3
Gimnasia Mendoza
22 Aug
Independiente
0 : 0
Ind. Rivadavia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
San Lorenzo 5
Deportivo Rincon 0
Deportivo Riestra 1
Deportivo Maipu 0
Newells Old Boys 0
Acassuso 2
Gimnasia L.P. 4
Deportivo Camioneros 1
Banfield 3
Real Pilar 0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0
San Martin T. 1
Godoy Cruz 0
Deportivo Moron 1
Argentinos Jrs 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
San Martin Formosa 0
Defensa y Justicia 2
Chaco For Ever 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
Gimnasia Jujuy 3
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Atl. Rafaela 0
Velez Sarsfield 4
Deportivo Armenio 1
Gimnasia Mendoza 0
Gimnasia y Tiro 1
Sarmiento Junin 1
Tristan Suarez 0
Boca Juniors 2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0
River Plate 1
Ciudad Bolivar 0
Aldosivi 3
San Miguel 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
CA Estudiantes 0
Tigre 2
Claypole 0
Talleres Cordoba 2
Argentino de Merlo 0
Atl. Tucuman 2
Sportivo Barracas 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Agropecuario 0
Independiente 4
Biblioteca Atenas 2
Platense 1
Argentino MM 0
San Martin S.J. 2
Deportivo Madryn 0
Instituto 2
Atletico Atlanta 0
Lanus 4
Sarmiento de La Banda 1
Estudiantes L.P. 4
Ituzaingo 0
Rosario Central 2
Sportivo Belgrano 0
Barracas Central 3
Temperley 2
Huracan 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1
1/16-finals
San Lorenzo 1
Deportivo Riestra 2
Acassuso 0
Gimnasia L.P. 3
Banfield 2
San Martin T. 1
Deportivo Moron 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 4
Defensa y Justicia 1
Gimnasia Jujuy 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Velez Sarsfield 2
Gimnasia y Tiro 0
Sarmiento Junin 0
Boca Juniors 2
River Plate 1
Aldosivi 3
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Tigre 0
Talleres Cordoba 0
Atl. Tucuman 3
Union de Santa Fe 0
Independiente 2
Platense 1
San Martin S.J. 0
Instituto 2
Lanus 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Rosario Central 0
Barracas Central 1
Huracan 0
1/8-finals
Deportivo Riestra 2
Gimnasia L.P. 1
Banfield 3
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 0
Velez Sarsfield 0
Boca Juniors 1
Aldosivi 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
Atl. Tucuman 4
Independiente 0
Platense 2
Instituto 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Barracas Central 1
Quarter-finals
Deportivo Riestra 1
Banfield 2
Racing Club -
Boca Juniors -
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Atl. Tucuman 2
Platense -
Estudiantes L.P. -
Semi-finals
Banfield -
TBD -
Atl. Tucuman -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -