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Union Deportivo Universitario vs Alianza

Panama Panama

LPF Estadio Universidad Latina
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union Deportivo Universitario play Alianza in the LPF. It looks like a close match. Recently, Union Deportivo Universitario averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Alianza averaged 1.68 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, Union Deportivo Universitario won 1, Alianza won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Union Deportivo Universitario and 1.69 for Alianza. This points to a Alianza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Union Deportivo Universitario
32%
Draws
46%
Alianza
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Alianza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Union Deportivo Universitario picked up more points recently compared to Alianza.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Union Deportivo Universitario Clean Sheet 13%
Alianza Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Deportivo Universitario Alianza
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 14
Draws 11 12
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.97 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 LPF
Union Deportivo Universitario vs Alianza
0:1
Nov 13, 2025 LPF
Alianza vs Union Deportivo Universitario
3:2
Sep 20, 2025 LPF
Union Deportivo Universitario vs Alianza
0:0
Mar 18, 2025 LPF
Alianza vs Union Deportivo Universitario
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 LPF
Union Deportivo Universitario vs Alianza
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Deportivo Universitario Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Alianza Compare

Top Goalscorer Perdomo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Deportivo Universitario 22 / 100
Alianza 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Deportivo Universitario Alianza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alianza or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Union Deportivo Universitario attacking → ← attacking Alianza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Deportivo Universitario scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Alianza let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Union Deportivo Universitario went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Alianza lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 54
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Plaza Amador1694328:1631
2Alianza1669126:2027
3UMECIT1667328:2025
4Tauro1656522:1921
5Arabe Unido1663716:2021
6Sporting San Miguelito1646619:2118
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Veraguas1674526:2325
2Union Cocle1658316:1123
3Independiente1648418:1420
4San Francisco1655622:2520
5Union Deportivo Universitario1635819:2714
6Herrera16151013:378