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Union Huaral vs Hualgayoc

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union Huaral play Hualgayoc in the Segunda Division 2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Union Huaral averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Hualgayoc averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Union Huaral won 1, Hualgayoc won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 23, 2018 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Union Huaral and 1.38 for Hualgayoc. This points to a Hualgayoc double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Union Huaral
24%
Draws
52%
Hualgayoc
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Hualgayoc

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Union Huaral picked up more points recently compared to Hualgayoc.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Union Huaral Clean Sheet 17%
Hualgayoc Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Huaral Hualgayoc
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 25 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2018 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Hualgayoc
1:1
Jun 16, 2018 Liga 2
Hualgayoc vs Union Huaral
6:2
Sep 17, 2017 Liga 2
Hualgayoc vs Union Huaral
5:0
May 28, 2017 Liga 2
Union Huaral vs Hualgayoc
5:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Huaral 25 / 100
Hualgayoc 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Huaral Hualgayoc

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hualgayoc or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Union Huaral attacking → ← attacking Hualgayoc

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Huaral scored in 51% of their last 39 games.

Hualgayoc let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.75 goals.

Union Huaral went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Hualgayoc lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 51
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cesar Vallejo28195455:1962
2Carlos Mannucci28167566:3055
3Cienciano28174763:3055
4Union Huaral28146858:3948
5Hualgayoc28139649:3848
6Juan Aurich28145951:2747
7Alianza Atl.28145948:3747
8Atletico Grau281261058:4242
9Deportivo Coopsol28910946:3237
10Los Chankas281141338:3637
11Los Caimanes28761538:5727
12Sport Victoria28671534:5425
13Sport Loreto28661638:6824
14Alfredo Salinas28561725:6621
15Willy Serrato28242223:11510