Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union La Calera vs U. De Chile

Chile Chile

Copa de la Liga Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Union La Calera play U. De Chile in the Copa de la Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Union La Calera averaged 1 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. U. De Chile averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. In past meetings, Union La Calera won 3, U. De Chile won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 2, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Union La Calera and 1.69 for U. De Chile. This points to a U. De Chile double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Union La Calera
30%
Draws
40%
U. De Chile
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: U. De Chile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Union La Calera picked up more points recently compared to U. De Chile.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Union La Calera Clean Sheet 13%
U. De Chile Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union La Calera U. De Chile
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 7 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Copa Chile
U. De Chile vs Union La Calera
0:1
Jun 24, 2026 Copa Chile
Union La Calera vs U. De Chile
3:3
Jun 14, 2026 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs U. De Chile
2:2
May 10, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Union La Calera vs U. De Chile
1:0
Mar 24, 2026 Copa de la Liga
U. De Chile vs Union La Calera
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union La Calera Compare

Top Goalscorer Villanueva C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

U. De Chile Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union La Calera 30 / 100
U. De Chile 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union La Calera U. De Chile

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: U. De Chile or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Union La Calera attacking → ← attacking U. De Chile

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union La Calera scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

U. De Chile let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Union La Calera went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

U. De Chile lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 39
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Coquimbo64209:514
2Colo Colo63128:510
3Huachipato62226:68
4D. Concepcion60156:131
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nublense64209:314
2U. Catolica632113:711
3U. De Concepcion61147:114
4Cobresal61146:144
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1O Higgins642011:614
2Everton62138:97
3Limache61327:86
4Palestino61239:125
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Union La Calera64117:313
2A. Italiano632112:911
3U. De Chile622212:78
4La Serena60156:181