Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union La Calera vs U. De Chile

Chile Chile

Copa de la Liga Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán, La Calera
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Fernandez N.
33' Event
Villanueva C.
46'
Sub
Aranguiz C. In: Barrera L.
Out: Aranguiz C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Union La Calera
15%
Draws
59%
U. De Chile
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: U. De Chile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and U. De Chile come out ahead of Union La Calera on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • U. De Chile arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Union La Calera, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Union La Calera Clean Sheet 12%
U. De Chile Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union La Calera U. De Chile
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.24 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Copa Chile
U. De Chile vs Union La Calera
0:1
Jun 24, 2026 Copa Chile
Union La Calera vs U. De Chile
3:3
Jun 14, 2026 Liga de Primera
Union La Calera vs U. De Chile
2:2
May 10, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Union La Calera vs U. De Chile
1:0
Mar 24, 2026 Copa de la Liga
U. De Chile vs Union La Calera
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union La Calera Compare

Top Goalscorer Villanueva C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

U. De Chile Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union La Calera 30 / 100
U. De Chile 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union La Calera U. De Chile

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. De Chile Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union La Calera found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

U. De Chile let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Union La Calera stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union La Calera VS U. De Chile
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Union La Calera

(Home)
14 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 0
Limache
06 Sept
O Higgins
2 : 1
Union La Calera
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1
La Serena
22 Aug
A. Italiano
0 : 0
Union La Calera
16 Aug
Nublense
2 : 1
Union La Calera
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U. De Chile

(Away)
13 Sept
La Serena
0 : 3
U. De Chile
06 Sept
U. De Chile
4 : 2
Coquimbo
30 Aug
U. De Concepcion
2 : 1
U. De Chile
23 Aug
U. De Chile
1 : 2
Colo Colo
15 Aug
Limache
1 : 3
U. De Chile
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 4 2 0 9:5 14
2 Colo Colo 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 D. Concepcion 6 0 1 5 6:13 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 U. Catolica 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
4 Cobresal 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Higgins 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Everton 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 Limache 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Palestino 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union La Calera 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
2 A. Italiano 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 U. De Chile 6 2 2 2 12:7 8
4 La Serena 6 0 1 5 6:18 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)