Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Magdalena vs Bogota

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Sierra Nevada, Santa Marta
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Perea S.
28'
Sub
Arrieta G. In: Cervantes M.
Out: Arrieta G.
30'
Gutierrez A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Union Magdalena and Bogota finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Union Magdalena
15%
Draws
46%
Bogota
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bogota

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Magdalena come out ahead of Bogota on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 68%
Bogota Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Magdalena Bogota
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Union Magdalena
1:0
May 21, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Bogota
0:0
Apr 27, 2026 Primera B
Bogota vs Union Magdalena
1:1
Jan 26, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Bogota
0:0
Jul 25, 2024 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Bogota
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Magdalena 41 / 100
Bogota 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Magdalena Bogota

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Magdalena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Magdalena's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bogota has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Union Magdalena went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Magdalena VS Bogota
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Magdalena

(Home)
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2
Union Magdalena
12 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 1
Union Magdalena
05 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 2
Barranquilla
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
29 Aug
Union Magdalena
0 : 2
Quindio
Page 1 of 6

Bogota

(Away)
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1
Barranquilla
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Bogota
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
29 Aug
Atletico F.C.
2 : 1
Bogota
25 Aug
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 2
Bogota
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Envigado 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
2 Quindio 6 3 1 2 4:3 10
3 Inter Palmira 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
4 Tigres Futbol Club 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagena 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Union Magdalena 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
3 Barranquilla 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Bogota 6 0 3 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)