Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Magdalena vs Tigres Futbol Club

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Sierra Nevada
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Carreno A.
38' Event
Aragon O.
46'
Sub
Iguaran C. In: Pimienta J.
Out: Iguaran C.

AI Match Summary

Union Magdalena in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Magdalena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Union Magdalena
17%
Draws
13%
Tigres Futbol Club
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Union Magdalena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Union Magdalena lately — more wins on the board than Tigres Futbol Club.
  • Union Magdalena are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 68%
Tigres Futbol Club Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Magdalena Tigres Futbol Club
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Tigres Futbol Club
3:1
Oct 16, 2024 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Union Magdalena
2:1
May 5, 2024 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Tigres Futbol Club
0:0
Mar 21, 2024 Copa Colombia
Union Magdalena vs Tigres Futbol Club
2:2
Mar 7, 2024 Copa Colombia
Tigres Futbol Club vs Union Magdalena
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Magdalena Compare

Top Goalscorer Carreno A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Molina F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tigres Futbol Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Aragon O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Magdalena 77 / 100
Tigres Futbol Club 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Magdalena Tigres Futbol Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Magdalena scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Tigres Futbol Club has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Union Magdalena stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Magdalena VS Tigres Futbol Club
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter Palmira15122129:1338
2Union Magdalena15102327:1532
3Quindio1594220:1031
4Envigado1592424:1429
5Cartagena1575323:1526
6Bogota1565416:1423
7Barranquilla1562721:2020
8Tigres Futbol Club1555515:1420
9Ind. Yumbo1547413:1419
10Orsomarso1545613:1717
11Patriotas1545613:1717
12Boca Juniors de Cali1527615:2013
13Real Cundinamarca1527614:1913
14Leones152498:2410
15Atletico F.C.1516812:239
16Real Santander1514109:237