Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Omaha vs Texoma FC

USA USA

USL Cup 2025 Werner Park
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Chavez J.
20' Event
Botello Faz P.
Assist: Bronnik M.
28'
Chavez J.

AI Match Summary

The USL Cup 2025 game between Union Omaha and Texoma FC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Omaha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Union Omaha
28%
Draws
50%
Texoma FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Texoma FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Texoma FC haven't matched Union Omaha's recent run of results.
  • Texoma FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Union Omaha here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 12%
Texoma FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Omaha Texoma FC
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 17 11
Draws 2 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Texoma FC
5:0
Jul 24, 2025 USL Cup
Union Omaha vs Texoma FC
3:1
May 18, 2025 USL League One
Texoma FC vs Union Omaha
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Omaha Compare

Top Goalscorer Botello Faz P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Becher R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Texoma FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Omaha 22 / 100
Texoma FC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Omaha Texoma FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEX Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Texoma FC has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Union Omaha scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Union Omaha has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Union Omaha VS Texoma FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sacramento Republic43016:19
2Las Vegas Lights43017:69
3Monterey Bay42026:66
4Orange County SC42025:66
5AV Alta FC42026:65
6Oakland Roots41035:74
7Spokane Velocity41032:53
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio FC43016:310
2New Mexico430111:88
3Phoenix Rising430112:107
4Colorado Springs42027:57
5El Paso Locomotive42024:46
6Union Omaha41033:53
7Texoma FC40045:131
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Indy Eleven44009:211
2Birmingham Legion43018:510
3Chattanooga Red Wolves42025:85
4FC Tulsa41038:84
5Forward Madison41033:84
6One Knoxville41033:52
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rhode Island430111:510
2Hartford Athletic430110:79
3Detroit City43019:68
4Portland Hearts of Pine42028:105
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds41033:54
6Westchester SC40043:110
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence43019:59
2Louisville City43018:49
3Loudoun United43016:49
4North Carolina FC42024:45
5Lexington41036:64
6Richmond Kickers40041:110
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Greenville Triumph43016:39
2Tampa Bay42028:77
3South Georgia Tormenta42028:87
4Charleston42026:65
5Miami FC42028:95
6FC Naples41034:73