Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Touarga vs Fath Nador

Morocco Morocco

Coupe du Trone
Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Hamidouch A.
62' Event
Fouzair M.

AI Match Summary

Union Touarga in this Coupe du Trone tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Union Touarga
6%
Draws
4%
Fath Nador
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Union Touarga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Union Touarga have won more games recently than Fath Nador.
  • Model gives Union Touarga a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Union Touarga have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Union Touarga, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Union Touarga Clean Sheet 68%
Fath Nador Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Touarga Fath Nador
Matches Played 31 6
Wins 8 1
Draws 12 1
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Coupe du Trone
Union Touarga vs Fath Nador
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Touarga Compare

Top Goalscorer Fouzair M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Fath Nador Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Touarga 95 / 100
Fath Nador 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Touarga Fath Nador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fath Nador's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 6 matches.

Solid form: Union Touarga remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Union Touarga's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Fath Nador registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Union Touarga VS Fath Nador
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Touarga

(Home)
21 Jul
Union Touarga
3 : 0
Jeunesse Massira
17 Jul
Jeunesse Massira
1 : 1
Union Touarga
05 Jul
Wydad Athletic
1 : 2
Union Touarga
02 Jul
Union Touarga
1 : 0
IR Tanger
28 Jun
FAR Rabat
2 : 2
Union Touarga
Page 1 of 7

Fath Nador

(Away)
16 May
Union Touarga
1 : 0
Fath Nador
10 Feb
Stade Marocain
2 : 1
Fath Nador
31 Aug
KAC Kenitra
2 : 0
Fath Nador
27 Aug
Fath Nador
1 : 1
KAC Kenitra
16 Aug
Fath Nador
1 : 0
Union de Mohammedia
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Wydad Serghini1
Renaissance Zemamra2
Amal Tiznit0
Difaa El Jadidi3
Chabab Atlas Khenifra0
COD Meknes2
Moghreb Tetouan1
FATH Casablanca0
Olympique de Safi3
Dcheira0
Yacoub El Mansour1
Maghreb Fez0
Hassania Agadir3
Mostakbal El Marsa2
Raja Casablanca2
Jeunesse Massira0
KAC Kenitra1
IR Tanger2
Berkane3
Wydad Fes1
Kawkab Marrakech3
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem1
Rachad Bernoussi0
FUS Rabat4
Union Touarga1
Fath Nador0
Chabab Mohammedia0
Chabab Benguerir3
FAR Rabat2
Stade Marocain1
Raja Beni Mellal0
Wydad Athletic2
1/8-finals
Renaissance Zemamra-
Difaa El Jadidi-
COD Meknes-
Moghreb Tetouan-
Olympique de Safi-
Yacoub El Mansour-
Hassania Agadir-
Raja Casablanca-
IR Tanger-
Berkane-
Kawkab Marrakech-
FUS Rabat-
Union Touarga-
Chabab Benguerir-
FAR Rabat-
Wydad Athletic-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-