Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Touarga vs Maghreb Fez

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro Stade Prince Moulay Hassan
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Danny
30'
Moustaghfir N.
34'
Franco P.

AI Match Summary

Maghreb Fez in this Botola Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maghreb Fez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Union Touarga
44%
Draws
20%
Maghreb Fez
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maghreb Fez lately — more wins on the board than Union Touarga.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Botola Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Union Touarga Clean Sheet 24%
Maghreb Fez Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Touarga Maghreb Fez
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Maghreb Fez
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs Union Touarga
1:0
Jan 5, 2025 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Maghreb Fez
0:3
Sep 14, 2024 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs Union Touarga
1:2
Mar 15, 2024 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Maghreb Fez
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Touarga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Maghreb Fez Compare

Top Goalscorer Ait Allal H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Touarga 37 / 100
Maghreb Fez 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Touarga Maghreb Fez

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Touarga's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Union Touarga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Maghreb Fez's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Union Touarga VS Maghreb Fez
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maghreb Fez301611340:1759
2Berkane30169544:2757
3Raja Casablanca30168639:1956
4FAR Rabat301316145:2255
5Wydad Athletic301341339:3343
6Difaa El Jadidi30913830:3440
7IR Tanger30912927:3139
8FUS Rabat309101131:3637
9Kawkab Marrakech308121027:2636
10COD Meknes30991224:3336
11Renaissance Zemamra30891328:3733
12Hassania Agadir30891327:3933
13Union Touarga306131132:4031
14Dcheira30791429:4030
15Yacoub El Mansour30791434:4430
16Olympique de Safi303131424:4222