Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Union Touarga vs Maghreb Fez

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro 2025/2026 Stade Prince Moulay Hassan, Rabat
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Danny
30'
Moustaghfir N.
34'
Franco P.

AI Match Summary

Maghreb Fez in this Botola Pro 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maghreb Fez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Union Touarga
35%
Draws
32%
Maghreb Fez
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maghreb Fez lately — more wins on the board than Union Touarga.
  • Union Touarga are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Botola Pro 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Union Touarga Clean Sheet 18%
Maghreb Fez Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Union Touarga Maghreb Fez
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.1 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Maghreb Fez
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs Union Touarga
1:0
Jan 5, 2025 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Maghreb Fez
0:3
Sep 14, 2024 Botola Pro
Maghreb Fez vs Union Touarga
1:2
Mar 15, 2024 Botola Pro
Union Touarga vs Maghreb Fez
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Union Touarga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Maghreb Fez Compare

Top Goalscorer Ait Allal H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Union Touarga 36 / 100
Maghreb Fez 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Union Touarga Maghreb Fez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Union Touarga stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Union Touarga found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Maghreb Fez's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Union Touarga VS Maghreb Fez
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Union Touarga

(Home)
21 Jul
Union Touarga
3 : 0
Jeunesse Massira
17 Jul
Jeunesse Massira
1 : 1
Union Touarga
05 Jul
Wydad Athletic
1 : 2
Union Touarga
02 Jul
Union Touarga
1 : 0
IR Tanger
28 Jun
FAR Rabat
2 : 2
Union Touarga
Page 1 of 6

Maghreb Fez

(Away)
12 Sept
Rahimo
0 : 0
Maghreb Fez
06 Sept
Maghreb Fez
4 : 1
Rahimo
05 Jul
Maghreb Fez
2 : 0
Dcheira
02 Jul
Kawkab Marrakech
0 : 0
Maghreb Fez
28 Jun
Maghreb Fez
2 : 1
Yacoub El Mansour
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maghreb Fez 30 16 11 3 40:17 59
2 Berkane 30 16 9 5 44:27 57
3 Raja Casablanca 30 16 8 6 39:19 56
4 FAR Rabat 30 13 16 1 45:22 55
5 Wydad Athletic 30 13 4 13 39:33 43
6 Difaa El Jadidi 30 9 13 8 30:34 40
7 IR Tanger 30 9 12 9 27:31 39
8 FUS Rabat 30 9 10 11 31:36 37
9 Kawkab Marrakech 30 8 12 10 27:26 36
10 COD Meknes 30 9 9 12 24:33 36
11 Renaissance Zemamra 30 8 9 13 28:37 33
12 Hassania Agadir 30 8 9 13 27:39 33
13 Union Touarga 30 6 13 11 32:40 31
14 Dcheira 30 7 9 14 29:40 30
15 Yacoub El Mansour 30 7 9 14 34:44 30
16 Olympique de Safi 30 3 13 14 24:42 22
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 2026/2027 (Main)