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Unionistas de Salamanca vs Ath Bilbao B

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Reina Sofia
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Unionistas de Salamanca play Ath Bilbao B in the Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Unionistas de Salamanca averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Ath Bilbao B averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. In past meetings, Unionistas de Salamanca won 2, Ath Bilbao B won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Unionistas de Salamanca and 1.13 for Ath Bilbao B. This points to a Unionistas de Salamanca double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Unionistas de Salamanca
33%
Draws
30%
Ath Bilbao B
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Unionistas de Salamanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Unionistas de Salamanca picked up more points recently compared to Ath Bilbao B.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Unionistas de Salamanca Clean Sheet 21%
Ath Bilbao B Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unionistas de Salamanca Ath Bilbao B
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 12
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Unionistas de Salamanca vs Ath Bilbao B
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ath Bilbao B vs Unionistas de Salamanca
0:0
May 10, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ath Bilbao B vs Unionistas de Salamanca
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Unionistas de Salamanca vs Ath Bilbao B
3:2
Mar 6, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Unionistas de Salamanca vs Ath Bilbao B
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Unionistas de Salamanca Compare

Top Goalscorer Marco P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ath Bilbao B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unionistas de Salamanca 38 / 100
Ath Bilbao B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unionistas de Salamanca Ath Bilbao B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Unionistas de Salamanca or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Unionistas de Salamanca attacking → ← attacking Ath Bilbao B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unionistas de Salamanca scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Ath Bilbao B let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Unionistas de Salamanca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ath Bilbao B lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 43
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tenerife382210662:2476
2Celta Vigo B381811961:4865
3Zamora3817101153:4261
4Ponferradina381791243:3360
5Real Madrid B3816101261:5258
6Pontevedra381416849:3158
7Barakaldo3815131051:3858
8Unionistas de Salamanca3815111253:4956
9Lugo3813141136:4053
10AD Merida3814101447:5352
11Arenas Getxo381571646:5552
12Racing Club Ferrol3813101541:4749
13Ath Bilbao B3813101538:4649
14Real Aviles3811111655:6744
15Cacereno3810141442:4944
16CF Talavera3811101738:4743
17Ourense CF3810131544:4743
18Guadalajara3810111744:5841
19Osasuna B3810101828:4240
20Arenteiro386102229:5328