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United of Manchester vs Stocksbridge

England England

NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 Broadhurst Park, Manchester
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Grivosti M.
43' Event
Fitzmartin J.
57' Event
Grivosti M.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 game between United of Manchester and Stocksbridge finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward United of Manchester.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
United of Manchester
6%
Draws
4%
Stocksbridge
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: United of Manchester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • United of Manchester carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on United of Manchester taking it.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors United of Manchester here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
United of Manchester Clean Sheet 20%
Stocksbridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United of Manchester Stocksbridge
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Stocksbridge
4:0
Dec 10, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Stocksbridge vs United of Manchester
0:3
Aug 1, 2023 Club Friendly
Stocksbridge vs United of Manchester
2:1
Mar 8, 2014 NPL Premier Division
Stocksbridge vs United of Manchester
1:4
Oct 26, 2013 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Stocksbridge
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United of Manchester Compare

Top Goalscorer Grivosti M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fitzmartin J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Stocksbridge Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United of Manchester 85 / 100
Stocksbridge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United of Manchester Stocksbridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stocksbridge let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

United of Manchester scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Recent resilience: United of Manchester stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

United of Manchester VS Stocksbridge
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

United of Manchester

(Home)
24 Jul
Southport
2 : 0
United of Manchester
20 Jul
Trafford
0 : 3
United of Manchester
18 Jul
United of Manchester
1 : 4
Salford
14 Jul
United of Manchester
2 : 0
Rochdale
11 Jul
Runcorn Linnets
0 : 4
United of Manchester
Page 1 of 7

Stocksbridge

(Away)
17 Jul
Guiseley
2 : 0
Stocksbridge
25 Apr
Lancaster
2 : 0
Stocksbridge
18 Apr
Stocksbridge
0 : 0
Ilkeston
11 Apr
Warrington Rylands
3 : 2
Stocksbridge
06 Apr
Stocksbridge
0 : 2
Leek Town
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hebburn Town402310775:4179
2Hednesford402211762:3577
3United of Manchester402191065:4172
4Warrington Rylands401813959:4267
5Stockton4018121062:5063
6Lancaster4017111256:4562
7Gainsborough4016111350:4559
8Leek Town401771650:5258
9Cleethorpes4014131356:4755
10Ashton United4014111547:5453
11Ilkeston401571852:5452
12Bamber Bridge401481852:5250
13Guiseley401391846:5648
14Warrington Town4012121643:6348
15Hyde4011141558:6347
16Rushall4012111748:6147
17Whitby4010131743:5543
18Workington4010131743:5843
19Prescot Cables409151640:5042
20Morpeth401262238:5442
21Stocksbridge408122038:6536
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)