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United of Manchester W vs Chester-Le-Street Town W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2018/2019 Broadhurst Park, Manchester
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Chester-Le-Street Town W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
United of Manchester W
44%
Draws
20%
Chester-Le-Street Town W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Chester-Le-Street Town W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Chester-Le-Street Town W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chester-Le-Street Town W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
United of Manchester W Clean Sheet 20%
Chester-Le-Street Town W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United of Manchester W Chester-Le-Street Town W
Matches Played 6 15
Wins 1 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2018 Women’s FA Cup
United of Manchester W vs Chester-Le-Street Town W
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United of Manchester W 36 / 100
Chester-Le-Street Town W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United of Manchester W Chester-Le-Street Town W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

United of Manchester W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (6 games).

Difficult form: Chester-Le-Street Town W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Chester-Le-Street Town W let in goals in 53% of their last 15 matches.

Scoring Trends

United of Manchester W VS Chester-Le-Street Town W
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

United of Manchester W

(Home)
26 Nov
United of Manchester W
2 : 3
Hull City W
12 Nov
York City W
0 : 2
United of Manchester W
13 Nov
United of Manchester W
1 : 4
Merseyrail W
14 Nov
United of Manchester W
0 : 1
Brighouse Town W
13 Dec
United of Manchester W
1 : 2
Liverpool Feds W
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Chester-Le-Street Town W

(Away)
26 Oct
Liverpool Feds W
4 : 0
Chester-Le-Street Town W
08 Dec
Chester-Le-Street Town W
1 : 2
Stoke City LFC W
24 Nov
Durham Cestria W
1 : 2
Chester-Le-Street Town W
03 Nov
Curzon Ashton W
0 : 1
Chester-Le-Street Town W
10 Dec
Chester-Le-Street Town W
1 : 5
Derby W
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Manchester City W-
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Middlesbrough W-
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Chorley W1
Stockport W2
Buckland W2
Cheltenham W0
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Watford W-
Crystal Palace W-
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Tottenham W-
Millwall W-
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Lewes W-
Milton Keynes Dons W-
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Poole Town W0
Southampton FC W3
Sheffield FC W-
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Nottingham W-
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Liverpool W-
Durham W-
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Bolton W1
Norton & Stockton W0
Leicester City Development W1
West Brom W2
QPR W-
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Cardiff City W-
AFC Wimbledon W4
New London Lionesses W3
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Portsmouth W-
Long Eaton W3
Nettleham W2
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Hull City W-
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Bristol City W-
Arsenal W-
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Coventry United W-
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Plymouth W-
Selsey W-
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QPR B W0
Haywards Heath W6
Everton W-
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Chelsea W-
Reading W-
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AFC Fylde W-
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Sunderland W-
Basildon W-
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Bournemouth W1
Keynsham Town W8
Yeovil W-
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Birmingham W-
London Bees W-
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Leicester W-
Brighton W-
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Manchester United W-
Aston Villa W-
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Derby W-
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Guiseley Vixens W-
Chester-Le-Street Town W5
United of Manchester W0
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Stoke City LFC W-
Loughborough Foxes W-
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Gillingham W-
Luton W2
Kent Football W1
Norwich W2
Billericay W3
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Sheffield Utd W-
Huddersfield W-
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Bradford City W-
Doncaster W-
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Brighouse Town W0
Leeds W1
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Charlton W-
Blackburn W-
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Kidderminster W1
Wolverhampton W6
Cambridge Utd W2
Cambridge City W0
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Oxford Utd W-
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West Ham W-
1/64-finals
Manchester City W-
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Middlesbrough W1
Stockport W0
Buckland W0
Watford W1
Crystal Palace W-
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Tottenham W-
Millwall W-
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Lewes W-
Milton Keynes Dons W4
Southampton FC W0
Sheffield FC W2
Nottingham W3
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Liverpool W-
Durham W-
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Bolton W3
West Brom W2
QPR W0
Cardiff City W4
AFC Wimbledon W2
Portsmouth W0
Long Eaton W0
Hull City W5
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Bristol City W-
Arsenal W-
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Coventry United W2
Plymouth W1
Selsey W0
Haywards Heath W2
Everton W-
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Chelsea W-
Reading W-
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AFC Fylde W3
Sunderland W1
Basildon W3
Keynsham Town W8
Yeovil W-
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Birmingham W-
London Bees W-
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Leicester W-
Brighton W-
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Manchester United W-
Aston Villa W-
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Derby W2
Guiseley Vixens W0
Chester-Le-Street Town W0
Stoke City LFC W2
Loughborough Foxes W3
Gillingham W1
Luton W1
Billericay W3
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Sheffield Utd W-
Huddersfield W7
Bradford City W1
Doncaster W3
Leeds W4
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Charlton W-
Blackburn W4
Wolverhampton W0
Cambridge Utd W0
Oxford Utd W4
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West Ham W-
1/32-finals
Manchester City W-
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Middlesbrough W2
Watford W7
Crystal Palace W-
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Tottenham W-
Millwall W-
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Lewes W-
Milton Keynes Dons W1
Nottingham W0
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Liverpool W-
Durham W-
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Bolton W0
Cardiff City W2
AFC Wimbledon W3
Hull City W0
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Bristol City W-
Arsenal W-
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Coventry United W1
Haywards Heath W2
Everton W-
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Chelsea W-
Reading W-
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AFC Fylde W1
Keynsham Town W2
Yeovil W-
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Birmingham W-
London Bees W-
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Leicester W-
Brighton W-
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Manchester United W-
Aston Villa W-
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Derby W1
Stoke City LFC W2
Loughborough Foxes W4
Billericay W3
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Sheffield Utd W-
Huddersfield W4
Leeds W1
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Charlton W-
Blackburn W2
Oxford Utd W1
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West Ham W-
1/16-finals
Manchester City W3
Watford W0
Crystal Palace W0
Tottenham W3
Millwall W1
Lewes W0
Milton Keynes Dons W0
Liverpool W6
Durham W5
Cardiff City W1
AFC Wimbledon W0
Bristol City W3
Arsenal W4
Haywards Heath W0
Everton W0
Chelsea W2
Reading W13
Keynsham Town W0
Yeovil W1
Birmingham W3
London Bees W2
Leicester W0
Brighton W0
Manchester United W2
Aston Villa W2
Stoke City LFC W1
Loughborough Foxes W0
Sheffield Utd W2
Huddersfield W4
Charlton W3
Blackburn W1
West Ham W3
1/8-finals
Manchester City W3
Tottenham W0
Millwall W0
Liverpool W2
Durham W2
Bristol City W0
Arsenal W0
Chelsea W3
Reading W2
Birmingham W1
London Bees W0
Manchester United W3
Aston Villa W4
Sheffield Utd W3
Huddersfield W1
West Ham W8
Quarter-finals
Manchester City W3
Liverpool W0
Durham W0
Chelsea W1
Reading W3
Manchester United W2
Aston Villa W0
West Ham W1
Semi-finals
Manchester City W1
Chelsea W0
Reading W1
West Ham W2
Final
Manchester City W3
West Ham W0