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United PDX vs Ballard

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USL League Two 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2024 game between United PDX and Ballard finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward United PDX.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
United PDX
15%
Draws
49%
Ballard
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ballard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • United PDX haven't matched Ballard's recent run of results.
  • Ballard are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular USL League Two 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
United PDX Clean Sheet 15%
Ballard Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United PDX Ballard
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 15 25
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.93 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.46 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 USL League Two
Ballard vs United PDX
1:0
Jun 22, 2024 USL League Two
United PDX vs Ballard
2:1
Jul 16, 2023 USL League Two
Ballard vs United PDX
4:1
Jun 25, 2023 USL League Two
United PDX vs Ballard
1:1
May 29, 2023 USL League Two
United PDX vs Ballard
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United PDX 10 / 100
Ballard 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United PDX Ballard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballard Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United PDX scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Ballard's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

United PDX went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ballard
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

United PDX

(Home)
21 Jul
United PDX
4 : 5
Project 51O
19 Jul
Almaden
0 : 1
United PDX
14 Jul
Lane United FC
1 : 2
United PDX
13 Jul
Ballard
1 : 0
United PDX
10 Jul
United PDX
1 : 0
Tacoma Stars
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Ballard

(Away)
24 Jul
Ballard
1 : 2
Ventura
20 Jul
Ballard
4 : 3
Colorado Storm
18 Jul
Ballard
2 : 1
Utah United
13 Jul
Ballard
4 : 0
Snohomish United
09 Jul
Bigfoot
0 : 4
Ballard
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