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United States Virgin Islands U20 vs Montserrat U20

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

United States Virgin Islands U20 play Montserrat U20 in the CONCACAF Championship U20 2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, United States Virgin Islands U20 averaged 0.81 goals scored and 6.19 conceded. Montserrat U20 averaged 0.5 goals scored and 4 conceded. In past meetings, United States Virgin Islands U20 won 0, Montserrat U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 19, 2020 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for United States Virgin Islands U20 and 2.38 for Montserrat U20. This points to a Montserrat U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
United States Virgin Islands U20
15%
Draws
43%
Montserrat U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montserrat U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • United States Virgin Islands U20 picked up more points recently compared to Montserrat U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 2.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
United States Virgin Islands U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Montserrat U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United States Virgin Islands U20 Montserrat U20
Matches Played 16 4
Wins 1 0
Draws 1 1
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 0.81 0.5
Goals Conceded 6.19 4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2020 CONCACAF Championship U20
United States Virgin Islands U20 vs Montserrat U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United States Virgin Islands U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer William A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Montserrat U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Duberry L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United States Virgin Islands U20 40 / 100
Montserrat U20 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United States Virgin Islands U20 Montserrat U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Montserrat U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

United States Virgin Islands U20 attacking → ← attacking Montserrat U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United States Virgin Islands U20 scored in 44% of their last 16 games.

Montserrat U20 let in goals in 100% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

United States Virgin Islands U20 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Montserrat U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

4 Points in last 5 1
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
4.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nicaragua U20440015:012
2Guyana U20430111:19
3United States Virgin Islands U2041124:134
4Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U2041037:93
5Montserrat U2040132:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dominican Republic U2033009:09
2Grenada U20320110:26
3Dominica U2031025:63
4Anguilla U2030031:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guadeloupe U20330011:19
2Curacao U2032017:26
3Belize U2031025:83
4Saint Martin U2030031:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barbados U20330010:29
2Puerto Rico U2031116:84
3Cayman Islands U2031024:83
4Bermuda U2030125:71