Sport Picks

Stadium Background

United States Virgin Islands U20 vs Nicaragua U20

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Uriarte Quintero J.
21' Event
Uriarte Quintero J.
32' Event
Armour N.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Championship U20 game between United States Virgin Islands U20 and Nicaragua U20 finished 3-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nicaragua U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
United States Virgin Islands U20
6%
Draws
90%
Nicaragua U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nicaragua U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nicaragua U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nicaragua U20 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CONCACAF Championship U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Nicaragua U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 68%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
United States Virgin Islands U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Nicaragua U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric United States Virgin Islands U20 Nicaragua U20
Matches Played 16 25
Wins 1 15
Draws 1 0
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1 2.88
Goals Conceded 6.57 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.57 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 CONCACAF Championship U20
United States Virgin Islands U20 vs Nicaragua U20
3:6
Nov 6, 2021 CONCACAF Championship U20
Nicaragua U20 vs United States Virgin Islands U20
7:0
Feb 16, 2020 CONCACAF Championship U20
Nicaragua U20 vs United States Virgin Islands U20
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

United States Virgin Islands U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Armour N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bass C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Nicaragua U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Uriarte Quintero J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Montenegro M. C.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

United States Virgin Islands U20 10 / 100
Nicaragua U20 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
United States Virgin Islands U20 Nicaragua U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

United States Virgin Islands U20 scored in 44% of their last 16 games.

Nicaragua U20 has conceded goals in 52% of their last 25 outings.

Difficult form: Nicaragua U20 registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

United States Virgin Islands U20 VS Nicaragua U20
1 Goals Scored 2.88
6.57 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 75%
86% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

United States Virgin Islands U20

(Home)
02 Mar
United States Virgin Islands U20
3 : 6
Nicaragua U20
28 Feb
Aruba U20
2 : 0
United States Virgin Islands U20
26 Feb
United States Virgin Islands U20
0 : 14
Canada U20
24 Feb
Martinique U20
7 : 1
United States Virgin Islands U20
10 Nov
United States Virgin Islands U20
2 : 5
Cayman Islands U20
Page 1 of 4

Nicaragua U20

(Away)
05 Mar
Canada U20
0 : 1
Nicaragua U20
02 Mar
United States Virgin Islands U20
3 : 6
Nicaragua U20
27 Feb
Nicaragua U20
5 : 0
Martinique U20
25 Feb
Nicaragua U20
0 : 2
Aruba U20
03 Mar
Nicaragua U20
1 : 2
Cuba U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Salvador U20540116:312
2Suriname U20540116:412
3Belize U20530210:179
4Saint Martin U2051136:104
5French Guiana U2051135:104
6Grenada U2051043:123
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jamaica U20550028:015
2Puerto Rico U20540112:212
3Bonaire U2052126:117
4Turks and Caicos Islands U2052034:146
5Saint Kitts and Nevis U2051135:124
6Cayman Islands U2050053:190
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Antigua and Barbuda U2044005:012
2Dominican Republic U20430111:19
3British Virgin Islands U2041124:84
4Saint Lucia U2041034:83
5Dominica U2040132:91
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haiti U20440016:112
2Curacao U20430113:49
3Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U2042029:106
4Guyana U2041037:93
5Anguilla U2040040:210
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Costa Rica U20431021:310
2Bermuda U2042209:58
3Trinidad & Tobago U20421111:67
4Barbados U2040132:111
5Sint Maarten U2040131:191
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canada U20430124:19
2Nicaragua U20430112:59
3Aruba U2042114:27
4Martinique U2041127:144
5United States Virgin Islands U2040044:290
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship U20 (Main)