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Univ. of Queensland vs The Lakes FC

Australia Australia

Brisbane Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Thompson D.
22' Event
Fogarty D.
57' Event
Hilliar C.

AI Match Summary

The Brisbane Premier League game between Univ. of Queensland and The Lakes FC finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward The Lakes FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Univ. of Queensland
22%
Draws
60%
The Lakes FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: The Lakes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • The Lakes FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on The Lakes FC taking it.
  • Regular Brisbane Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Univ. of Queensland Clean Sheet 10%
The Lakes FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Univ. of Queensland The Lakes FC
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 8 13
Draws 3 3
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Univ. of Queensland vs The Lakes FC
1:4
Apr 10, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
The Lakes FC vs Univ. of Queensland
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Univ. of Queensland Compare

Top Goalscorer Thompson D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

The Lakes FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fogarty D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hilliar C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Univ. of Queensland 18 / 100
The Lakes FC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Univ. of Queensland The Lakes FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

The Lakes FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 23 matches.

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Univ. of Queensland's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Univ. of Queensland has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Univ. of Queensland VS The Lakes FC
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Univ. of Queensland

(Home)
25 Sept
Toowong City
0 : 1
Univ. of Queensland
18 Sept
Univ. of Queensland
1 : 2
St. George Willawong
11 Sept
Bayside United
2 : 0
Univ. of Queensland
04 Sept
Univ. of Queensland
2 : 2
Acacia Ridge
29 Aug
Univ. of Queensland
3 : 1
Brisbane Knights
Page 1 of 6

The Lakes FC

(Away)
09 Oct
Bayside United
5 : 2
The Lakes FC
26 Sept
Brisbane Knights
1 : 8
The Lakes FC
19 Sept
Gravatt
0 : 3
The Lakes FC
11 Sept
The Lakes FC
1 : 1
Centenary Stormers
04 Sept
The Gap
1 : 0
The Lakes FC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Albany Creek221930102:1860
2Bayside United22142648:2544
3The Lakes FC22133660:4542
4St. George Willawong22122856:3938
5Gravatt22103938:4133
6Acacia Ridge22103942:4733
7Toowong City2295847:4632
8Univ. of Queensland22731227:4624
9Centenary Stormers22651130:4923
10The Gap22451319:4417
11Western Spirit FC22441436:7016
12Brisbane Knights22421629:6414
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