Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Universitario de Deportes vs Cajamarca

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Monumental
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Caro D.
53'
Munoz A.
56'
Riveros W.

AI Match Summary

Universitario de Deportes in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Universitario de Deportes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Universitario de Deportes
33%
Draws
40%
Cajamarca
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cajamarca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Universitario de Deportes lately — more wins on the board than Cajamarca.
  • Model gives Cajamarca a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Universitario de Deportes have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 20%
Cajamarca Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Deportes Cajamarca
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 0.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Cajamarca
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs Universitario de Deportes
1:2
Apr 27, 2025 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Cajamarca
6:0
Aug 5, 2024 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Cajamarca
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 Liga 1
Cajamarca vs Universitario de Deportes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Universitario de Deportes Compare

Top Goalscorer Alzugaray L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Cajamarca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Deportes 28 / 100
Cajamarca 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Deportes Cajamarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cajamarca has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Universitario de Deportes found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Universitario de Deportes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Deportes VS Cajamarca
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016