Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Monumental, Lima

Universitario de Deportes

0 - 2

Coquimbo

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Zavala C.

Assist: Cornejo J.

25'

Sub

Di Benedetto M. In: Inga C.

Out: Di Benedetto M.

33'

Gassama S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Coquimbo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Universitario de Deportes

20%

Draws

38%

Coquimbo

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Universitario de Deportes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Coquimbo's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Universitario de Deportes have produced (1).
Model gives Universitario de Deportes a 42% chance of winning this.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Coquimbo, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Coquimbo here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 37%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 20%

Coquimbo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Universitario de Deportes	Coquimbo
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	14	14
Draws	9	10
Losses	7	3
Goals Scored	1	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.71	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.71	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Coquimbo vs Universitario de Deportes

2:1

Apr 15, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Universitario de Deportes vs Coquimbo

0:2

Jan 21, 2024 Club Friendly

Universitario de Deportes vs Coquimbo

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Universitario de Deportes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Coquimbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Zavala C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Johansen N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Deportes 42 / 100

Coquimbo 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Universitario de Deportes Coquimbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Universitario de Deportes scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Coquimbo conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Solid form: Universitario de Deportes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Deportes VS Coquimbo

1 Goals Scored 1.5

0.71 Goals Conceded 0.75

71% Over 1.5 75%

29% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Universitario de Deportes

(Home)

18 Jul

AD Tarma

1 : 2

Universitario de Deportes

11 Jul

Universitario de Deportes

2 : 0

Millonarios

26 Jun

Universitario de Deportes

1 : 1

Atletico Grau

13 Jun

Pirata

2 : 0

Universitario de Deportes

31 May

Universitario de Deportes

2 : 1

Sport Huancayo

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Coquimbo

(Away)

12 Jul

Coquimbo

1 : 1

Union La Calera

08 Jul

Union La Calera

0 : 1

Coquimbo

04 Jul

Deportes Iquique

1 : 1

Coquimbo

01 Jul

Limache

1 : 1

Coquimbo

27 Jun

San Marcos de Arica

0 : 1

Coquimbo

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