Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Universitario de Tarija vs Universitario Beni

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Universitario de Tarija in this Nacional B 2015/2016 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Universitario de Tarija
17%
Draws
70%
Universitario Beni
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Universitario Beni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Universitario Beni have won more games recently than Universitario de Tarija.
  • Model gives Universitario Beni a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Universitario Beni arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Universitario de Tarija, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Universitario de Tarija Clean Sheet 10%
Universitario Beni Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Universitario de Tarija Universitario Beni
Matches Played 22 32
Wins 10 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario Beni vs Universitario de Tarija
3:1
Apr 9, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Universitario de Tarija vs Universitario Beni
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Universitario de Tarija 14 / 100
Universitario Beni 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Universitario de Tarija Universitario Beni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Universitario de Tarija's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Defensive concern: Universitario Beni conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Universitario de Tarija has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Universitario de Tarija VS Universitario Beni
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Universitario de Tarija

(Home)
22 Sept
Real Potosi
4 : 4
Universitario de Tarija
15 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
0 : 3
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
08 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
1 : 0
Fatic
01 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Universitario de Tarija
24 Aug
Fatic
6 : 3
Universitario de Tarija
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Universitario Beni

(Away)
10 Nov
24 de Septiembre
3 : 1
Universitario Beni
04 Nov
Universitario Beni
2 : 1
24 de Septiembre
28 Oct
Universitario Beni
3 : 1
Real Mapajo
13 Oct
24 de Septiembre
4 : 1
Universitario Beni
07 Oct
Real Mapajo
0 : 0
Universitario Beni
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Guabira4
Em Huanuni2
Universitario de Tarija4
Universitario Beni3
Final
Guabira2
Universitario Beni0