Sport Picks

Stadium Background

University of Macau vs Chiba

Macao Macao

Elite League
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Emmanuel A.
45' Event
Gomes W.
61' Event
Gomes W.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League game between University of Macau and Chiba finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chiba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
University of Macau
6%
Draws
90%
Chiba
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chiba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chiba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chiba a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Chiba here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
University of Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Chiba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric University of Macau Chiba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 24 9
Goals Scored 0.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 4.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Elite League
Chiba vs University of Macau
7:1
Mar 7, 2026 Elite League
University of Macau vs Chiba
0:5
Apr 6, 2025 Elite League
University of Macau vs Chiba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

University of Macau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Chiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Emmanuel A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gomes W.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

University of Macau 10 / 100
Chiba 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
University of Macau Chiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Chiba has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Chiba lost 3 of their last 5 games.

University of Macau's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

University of Macau VS Chiba
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
4.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

University of Macau

(Home)
25 Jul
Cheng Fung
2 : 2
University of Macau
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
12 Jul
Artilheiros
3 : 2
University of Macau
05 Jul
University of Macau
1 : 7
Hang Sai
28 Jun
G. Universe
5 : 3
University of Macau
Page 1 of 6

Chiba

(Away)
26 Jul
Chiba
0 : 5
Must IPO
19 Jul
Chiba
6 : 0
G. Universe
11 Jul
Gala
3 : 0
Chiba
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shao Jiang18152190:1647
2Must IPO18142286:1444
3Gala18122452:2838
4Chiba1884644:3328
5Benfica1873848:4624
6G. Universe1872949:7023
7Cheng Fung1857631:3822
8Hang Sai18441038:4816
9Artilheiros18331225:9812
10University of Macau18011715:871
Promotion - Elite League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Elite League (Relegation Group)