Sport Picks

Stadium Background

University of Macau vs Shao Jiang

Macao Macao

Elite League
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Guanhua X.
(Penalty)
22' Event
Sam C.
42' Event
Botero J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Shao Jiang in this Elite League matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shao Jiang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
University of Macau
6%
Draws
90%
Shao Jiang
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shao Jiang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Shao Jiang have won more games recently than University of Macau.
  • Shao Jiang are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • Shao Jiang have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
University of Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Shao Jiang Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric University of Macau Shao Jiang
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 26
Draws 2 2
Losses 24 2
Goals Scored 0.88 5.5
Goals Conceded 4.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 5.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs University of Macau
6:0
Mar 1, 2026 Elite League
University of Macau vs Shao Jiang
1:5
Aug 7, 2025 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs University of Macau
1:0
Jun 29, 2025 Elite League
University of Macau vs Shao Jiang
3:4
Apr 27, 2025 Elite League
Shao Jiang vs University of Macau
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

University of Macau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Shao Jiang Compare

Top Goalscorer Sam C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Morillo E.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 5
Avg xA / game 3.06

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

University of Macau 10 / 100
Shao Jiang 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
University of Macau Shao Jiang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

University of Macau found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Shao Jiang's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: University of Macau stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

University of Macau VS Shao Jiang
0.88 Goals Scored 5.5
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

University of Macau

(Home)
25 Jul
Cheng Fung
2 : 2
University of Macau
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
12 Jul
Artilheiros
3 : 2
University of Macau
05 Jul
University of Macau
1 : 7
Hang Sai
28 Jun
G. Universe
5 : 3
University of Macau
Page 1 of 6

Shao Jiang

(Away)
26 Jul
Gala
0 : 7
Shao Jiang
18 Jul
Cheng Fung
0 : 4
Shao Jiang
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
03 Jul
Shao Jiang
14 : 0
Artilheiros
26 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 5
Shao Jiang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shao Jiang18152190:1647
2Must IPO17132281:1441
3Gala18122452:2838
4Chiba1784544:2828
5Benfica1873848:4624
6G. Universe1872949:7023
7Cheng Fung1857631:3822
8Hang Sai18441038:4816
9Artilheiros18331225:9812
10University of Macau18011715:871
Promotion - Elite League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Elite League (Relegation Group)