Sport Picks

Macao

Elite League 2025

University of Macau

3 - 4

Shao Jiang

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

McArthur M.

24'

Cheng-Lam L.

35'

Si H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2025 game between University of Macau and Shao Jiang finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shao Jiang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

University of Macau

Draws

90%

Shao Jiang

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Shao Jiang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Shao Jiang carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Shao Jiang's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
History favors Shao Jiang here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 87%

Over 3.5 Goals 69%

Over 4.5 Goals 31%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

University of Macau Clean Sheet 10%

Shao Jiang Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	University of Macau	Shao Jiang
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	4	25
Draws	1	2
Losses	24	2
Goals Scored	0.88	5.5
Goals Conceded	4.5	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	5.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.50	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Elite League

Shao Jiang vs University of Macau

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

6:0

Mar 1, 2026 Elite League

University of Macau vs Shao Jiang

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

1:5

Aug 7, 2025 Elite League

Shao Jiang vs University of Macau

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Jun 29, 2025 Elite League

University of Macau vs Shao Jiang

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 4 - 2

3:4

Apr 27, 2025 Elite League

Shao Jiang vs University of Macau

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

University of Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Cheng-Lam L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Si H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Shao Jiang Compare

Top Goalscorer McArthur M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Ilan

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 5

Avg xA / game 3.06

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

University of Macau 10 / 100

Shao Jiang 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

University of Macau Shao Jiang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

University of Macau scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Shao Jiang let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

University of Macau VS Shao Jiang

0.88 Goals Scored 5.5

4.5 Goals Conceded 1.25

100% Over 1.5 88%

88% Over 2.5 88%

63% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Must IPO	17	14	2	1	78:10	44
2	Shao Jiang	17	14	1	2	64:13	43
3	University of Macau	17	8	2	7	33:32	26
4	Benfica	17	8	1	8	31:28	25
5	Cheng Fung	17	5	5	7	22:42	20