Sport Picks

Stadium Background

University of Macau vs Tak Chun Ka I

Macao Macao

Elite League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Hou N. I.
Own Goal
76' Event
Noronha A.
85' Event
Noronha A.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2024 game between University of Macau and Tak Chun Ka I finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward University of Macau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
University of Macau
17%
Draws
13%
Tak Chun Ka I
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: University of Macau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • University of Macau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on University of Macau taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • University of Macau have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
University of Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric University of Macau Tak Chun Ka I
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 2 1
Losses 25 25
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 4.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2024 Elite League
University of Macau vs Tak Chun Ka I
4:0
Jun 1, 2024 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs University of Macau
0:5
Mar 10, 2024 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs University of Macau
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

University of Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Noronha A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Tak Chun Ka I Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

University of Macau 65 / 100
Tak Chun Ka I 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
University of Macau Tak Chun Ka I

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tak Chun Ka I has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.67 goals as a typical output.

Tak Chun Ka I lost 5 of their last 5 games.

University of Macau found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (41 games).

Scoring Trends

University of Macau VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
4.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

University of Macau

(Home)
25 Jul
Cheng Fung
2 : 2
University of Macau
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
12 Jul
Artilheiros
3 : 2
University of Macau
05 Jul
University of Macau
1 : 7
Hang Sai
28 Jun
G. Universe
5 : 3
University of Macau
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Tak Chun Ka I

(Away)
28 Jul
Tak Chun Ka I
2 : 3
Sporting Macau
19 Jul
University of Macau
4 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
14 Jul
Gala
10 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
29 Jun
Sporting Macau
4 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
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