Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Upsala vs Karlbergs

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2021 game between Upsala and Karlbergs finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karlbergs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Upsala
20%
Draws
33%
Karlbergs
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Upsala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Karlbergs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Upsala taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Upsala Clean Sheet 19%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Upsala Karlbergs
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Karlbergs vs Upsala
5:1
Aug 21, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Upsala vs Karlbergs
1:4
Sep 5, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Karlbergs vs Upsala
1:1
May 16, 2020 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Upsala vs Karlbergs
0:0
Aug 31, 2019 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Karlbergs vs Upsala
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Upsala 40 / 100
Karlbergs 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Upsala Karlbergs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Upsala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Upsala scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Karlbergs conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Upsala went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Karlbergs
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Upsala

(Home)
27 Nov
Upsala
4 : 2
Enkopings SK
20 Nov
Kvarnsveden
1 : 1
Upsala
13 Nov
Upsala
3 : 1
Sandvikens AIK
06 Nov
Skiljebo
6 : 0
Upsala
23 Oct
FC Arlanda
0 : 1
Upsala
Page 1 of 6

Karlbergs

(Away)
06 Sept
Pitea
3 : 0
Karlbergs
31 Aug
Hammarby TFF
0 : 0
Karlbergs
23 Aug
Karlbergs
0 : 3
AFC Eskilstuna
18 Aug
Karlbergs
2 : 0
Brage
15 Aug
Karlbergs
2 : 0
IFK Stocksund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 28 23 5 0 90:23 74
2 Karlbergs 28 21 2 5 83:36 65
3 IFK Stocksund 28 17 1 10 75:53 52
4 Skiljebo 28 14 5 9 61:49 47
5 Osteraker IFK 28 14 2 12 51:42 44
6 Lidingo IFK 28 12 7 9 56:47 43
7 FC Jarfalla 28 13 4 11 58:53 43
8 Enskede 28 11 8 9 45:42 41
9 Kungsangen 28 9 8 11 37:50 35
10 Gute 28 10 1 17 41:71 31
11 Sandvikens AIK 28 9 3 16 47:68 30
12 Kvarnsveden 28 8 5 15 34:51 29
13 Upsala 28 7 8 13 42:61 29
14 Enkopings SK 28 6 9 13 39:46 27
15 FC Arlanda 28 0 4 24 19:86 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2021 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Svealand 2021 (Relegation)