Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Zmaj Makarska in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zmaj Makarska.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Urania Baska Voda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Urania Baska Voda average 1.75 goals a game right now, well clear of Zmaj Makarska's 0.5.
- Urania Baska Voda are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Zmaj Makarska have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Urania Baska Voda Clean Sheet 68%
Zmaj Makarska Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Urania Baska Voda | Zmaj Makarska |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 9 |
| Losses | 18 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 23, 2022 3. HNL South
Urania Baska Voda vs Zmaj Makarska
0:1
Sep 25, 2021 3. HNL South
Zmaj Makarska vs Urania Baska Voda
2:0
May 15, 2021 3. HNL South
Zmaj Makarska vs Urania Baska Voda
2:0
Oct 28, 2020 3. HNL South
Urania Baska Voda vs Zmaj Makarska
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Urania Baska Voda 59 / 100
Zmaj Makarska 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Urania Baska Voda Zmaj Makarska
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick URA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zmaj Makarska has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Urania Baska Voda has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Zmaj Makarska lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Urania Baska Voda VS Zmaj Makarska
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Urania Baska Voda
(Home) 25 Sept
Urania Baska Voda
1 : 4 Hajduk Split
28 May
Uskok Klis
3 : 4 Urania Baska Voda
22 May
Urania Baska Voda
0 : 3 Jadran Luka Ploce
14 May
OSK Otok
3 : 4 Urania Baska Voda
08 May
Urania Baska Voda
3 : 1 Primorac Biograd
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Urania Baska Voda
1 : 4 Hajduk Split
22 May
Urania Baska Voda
0 : 3 Jadran Luka Ploce
08 May
Urania Baska Voda
3 : 1 Primorac Biograd
24 Apr
Urania Baska Voda
2 : 0 Zagora
16 Apr
Urania Baska Voda
1 : 0 Vodice
Page 1 of 4
Zmaj Makarska
(Away) 03 Aug
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 2 NK Junak Sinj
28 May
OSK Otok
2 : 1 Zmaj Makarska
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0 Primorac Biograd
15 May
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 0 Zmaj Makarska
07 May
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 0 Zagora
Page 1 of 6
28 May
OSK Otok
2 : 1 Zmaj Makarska
15 May
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 0 Zmaj Makarska
01 May
Hrvace
3 : 0 Zmaj Makarska
20 Apr
Sloga Mravince
1 : 1 Zmaj Makarska
09 Apr
RNK Split
0 : 1 Zmaj Makarska
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jadran Luka Ploce | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 67:28 | 65 |
| 2 | Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:38 | 60 |
| 3 | Hrvace | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 46:39 | 60 |
| 4 | HNK Zadar | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 69:28 | 59 |
| 5 | Neretva | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:36 | 55 |
| 6 | RNK Split | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 52:40 | 52 |
| 7 | NK Junak Sinj | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Uskok Klis | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 51:54 | 51 |
| 9 | Sloga Mravince | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 48:45 | 50 |
| 10 | Primorac Biograd | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 60:56 | 48 |
| 11 | Zagora | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 47:52 | 44 |
| 12 | GOSK Dubrovnik | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:34 | 43 |
| 13 | Zmaj Makarska | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 28:39 | 43 |
| 14 | Neretvanac | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 40:53 | 38 |
| 15 | Kamen Podbablje | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37:51 | 37 |
| 16 | Vodice | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 44:73 | 33 |
| 17 | Urania Baska Voda | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 33:65 | 33 |
| 18 | OSK Otok | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 48:83 | 26 |
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)
