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Urduliz FT vs Leioa

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Eskurza L.
65' Event
Arreitunandia A.
88' Event
Ruiz E.

AI Match Summary

Urduliz FT in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Urduliz FT.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Urduliz FT
35%
Draws
15%
Leioa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Urduliz FT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Leioa have won more games recently than Urduliz FT.
  • Win probability leans Urduliz FT's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Leioa have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Urduliz FT Clean Sheet 19%
Leioa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Urduliz FT Leioa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs Leioa
3:1
Nov 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Urduliz FT
2:0
Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Urduliz FT
5:1
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs Leioa
0:1
Mar 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Urduliz FT
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Urduliz FT Compare

Top Goalscorer Eskurza L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruiz E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Leioa Compare

Top Goalscorer Arreitunandia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Urduliz FT 85 / 100
Leioa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Urduliz FT Leioa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urduliz FT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Urduliz FT's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Leioa conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Urduliz FT stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leioa
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Urduliz FT

(Home)
10 May
Urduliz FT
0 : 0
Beasain
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 2
Urduliz FT
27 Apr
Urduliz FT
2 : 0
San Ignacio
17 Apr
Basconia
8 : 0
Urduliz FT
12 Apr
Urduliz FT
3 : 1
Leioa
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Leioa

(Away)
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
29 Aug
San Ignacio
3 : 3
Leioa
19 Aug
Leioa
1 : 1
Portugalete
18 Jul
Leioa
0 : 11
Ath Bilbao
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Basconia 34 23 7 4 89:32 76
2 Portugalete 34 19 13 2 66:29 70
3 Leioa 34 20 6 8 55:34 66
4 Beasain 34 19 7 8 53:34 64
5 SD Deusto 34 15 9 10 43:35 54
6 Alaves C 34 14 6 14 41:41 48
7 Touring KE 34 13 9 12 39:45 48
8 Derio 34 12 11 11 39:39 47
9 Eibar C 34 12 10 12 46:51 46
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 12 8 14 40:45 44
11 Lagun Onak 34 11 9 14 44:49 42
12 San Ignacio 34 11 9 14 32:41 42
13 SCD Durango 34 9 13 12 43:37 40
14 Pasaia 34 10 9 15 45:60 39
15 Santurtzi 34 8 14 12 46:43 38
16 Urduliz FT 34 9 9 16 37:56 36
17 Padura 34 7 8 19 31:48 29
18 San Viator 34 1 5 28 21:91 8
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 (Play Offs)